Reader "molnibalage83" posted this in the comment section of "Lies, damn lies, and military procurement costs":
Instead typing I just share something.
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX (download link)
It was made a reply another "funny" article which was posted on web. A strongly cutted version was released on Ottawa Citizen.
Since I don't expect anyone to click on a direct download link, for fear of viruses, etc, I have instead decided to post it here, in its entirety and unedited by me.
Here it is, in its entirety. I will give my response in the comment section.
1.Foreword
This critic was summoned by an article
which was published on online board of Ottawa Citizen. The article
portrays loosely most of the mentioned fighter aircraft concerning
their capabilities and potential. The author collected many links,
but because of misinterpretation, lack of criticism and understanding
and knowing the basics of military aviation and physics, the
conclusions of the article are false. Even a fixed point of view, a
conception is missing. If something is mentioned, which good for
Gripen NG, all other consequences of the aspect were not considered.
If something is just guessing or optimistic assumption for Gripen NG,
this aspect is not applied in similar way for other competitors. This
is such an error which should not be allowed.
For easier understanding I quote
certain parts of the original article. I do not use similar links as
the author did for “verification” because marketing stuff and
similar types of sources have to be judged with critical eyes or
simply disregarded. The critic pinpoints only the most critical
errors of the article, but such a deep and detailed analysis which I
wished to make was not possible. It would be too long, and most of
reader never read it because of the too hard physics and technical
content, the critics had to be cut making understandable for average
readers. (Even using this aspect the critic is much longer as the
criticized article.)
2.Critics – Part I
Candidates:
The Various Alternatives
While
the Rafale performs very well, it is hindered by its incompatibility
with most NATO standard weapons, which Canada stockpiles. This means
that Canada would be dependent on French munitions and our existing
weapons could not be used.
This is only partially true. Later the
article many times refers the MBDA Meteor as a possible BVR missile
for Gripen NG. Rafale also will be the one of the platforms of Meteor
missile, the incompatibly concerning mostly air to ground weapons. In
fact Rafale is able to use some US laser guided bombs from Paveway
family, even the most advanced combined laser/GPS guided variants.
The article stands that Gripen NG will
able to use any weapons which is shown on marketing brochures, which
is not true. Most of displayed weapons on currently used Gripen
fighters never were tested and integrated, neither on Gripen Demo
which is very far from the Gripen NG. If the author accepts the
assumption that Gripen NG will be able to use so many types of
weapons as promoted on brochures – for an unknown and never
mentioned cost – it should be allowed this premise for all other
mentioned aircraft. Weapon integration is not impossible “just”
an additional cost factor, not only for other competitors, but Gripen
NG either.
Though
still a very capable fighter, the Super Hornet is also not the best
of these alternatives due to an antiquated air frame and a relatively
low top speed of mach 1.8. The two most promising alternatives are
the Next Generation Gripen and the Eurofighter.
Mentioning a theoretical top speed
clearly shows that the author does not have even the basic knowledge
about aerodynamics and real combat capabilities of any 4th generation
or supersonic fighter. The maximal speed of Hornet (~M1.8) is
theoretical for any fighter in real tactical situations. Fighters can
reach this speed only with minimal or no weapons (except the F-22) on
very high altitude (10 km+), and the price is very high if any
aircraft try reaching this speed, their combat range is minimal.
There are only two major exceptions from this “rule” the MiG-25
Foxbat and MiG-31 Foxhound. Both fighters are very special, they were
designed as a “homeland interceptor” for ПВО (противовоздушная
оборона, in English form PVO) and not tactical fighter against
enemy fighters.
(Some countries tried use MiG-25
against fighters, but these attempts were mostly unsuccessful. During
Operation Desert Storm likely a MiG-25 downed in the first night an
F/A-18 Hornet, but the high top speed of MiG-25 was not acted. The
Foxbat and its prey flew at medium altitude where neither top speed
nor acceleration of the MiG-25 exceptional or superior, any other
Iraqi fighter could achieve that victory in the same case with IR
guided missile. The very crowded airspace and strict rules of
engagement made possible for Iraqi Foxbat to penetrate into a big
package and downed a fighter likely with an infra red guided R-40
missile; therefore the Hornet’s pilot was not aware of the attack,
because no one of sensors indicated the missile launch.)
Back for top speed through an exact
example, why is pointless mentioning a completely theoretical top
speed. The example is the record breaking variant of F-15A, the
Streak Eagle.(1) It was a lightened F-15A,
some non essential systems and painting were removed, its empty
weight was smaller about 2’800 lbs comparing with a combat capable
Eagle. Even this special Eagle variant with about 50% internal fuel
(~6’000 lbs) required two and a half minutes to climb the altitude
(30’000+ feet) and accelerate where M2.0 speed is possible. The
Streak Eagle consumed almost the total fuel quantity during the
record breaking, less than 1’500 lbs remained for safe return.
During the record breaking flight after reached M2.2 the Streak Eagle
performed a zoom climb.(2) At very high
altitude the engine flameout was unavoidable, so roughly after 3
minutes of full afterburner usage the F-15 used most of fuel –
F-15A’s total internal fuel qty. was about 11’850 lbs – the
farthest point during the record flight from airbase was only 55 km.
(Volume of tanks are fixed, the density depends on type of fuel.) The
acceleration was huge because Streak Eagle weight was smaller as an
armed F-15, and of course carried no external stores. The example
shows how small is the combat radius of fighters if they have to
climb and try reaching their top speed. Of course it is possible to
climb slower to 10km altitude then accelerate, but the range
difference won’t be huge comparing with subsonic cruise range.
(As I know 20km+ climbing record still
stand, officially never were beaten by any other fighter.
Unofficially some lower altitude of climb records of Streak Eagle was
beaten by a test GE F110 engine powered F-15E, which was not
lightened.)
What about restriction of external
stores and weapons? A fully armed F-15A top speed is about M1.7 with
4 x AIM-7 Sparrow and 4 x AIM-9 Sidewinder with standard day
conditions.(3)
After taking off, climbing then
performing an intercept with full afterburner Eagle’s combat radius
is about only about 100 nautical miles (~180 km) and during the trip
to home the fighter is literally defenseless, because of low fuel
level. Regardless Eagles nowadays carry AIM-120 instead AIM-7 these
values are not so different. Of course if Eagle climb with drop tanks
then drop them radius is bigger, but supersonic combat radius is
always much smaller than subsonic cruise range
If we count with aerial refuel at
medium altitude then performing an interception at high altitude for
a CAP (combat air patrol) station the Eagle still cannot fly far from
tanker. After a very short time – about 6-8 minutes – should turn
back having enough fuel for safe trip to tanker to home and be able
to react appearing threats.
So far the maximal speed was counted
only in air to air configuration, with air to ground ordnance and
drop tanks the top speed is about M1.2-1.4 for any 4th generation
fighter, but only if they are flying at least
20-30 thousand
feet. The chart in the link represents the flight envelope of an
F-16C with F110-GE-129 engine, with drag index 150. (4)
The 150 drag index value means roughly the following weapon
configuration:
2 x AIM-120 on 1/9 stations
(wingtip)
2 x AIM-9 on 2/9 stations (outer
wing hardpoint)
2 x GBU-24 or similar size bombs
on 3/7 stations (middle wing hardpoint)
2 x 370 gal. drop tank on 4/6
stations (inner wing hardpoint)
1 x laser targeting pod on 5R
station (right side of intake, under fuselage)
If the F-16C in the example accelerates
form M0.9 to M1.25 consumes lots of fuel and takes quite a long time.
On 30k feet F-16C with – with empty drop tanks means about 32’000
lbs gross weight – the required time is about 70 seconds and
consumes 700 lbs fuel, which is about 10% of total internal quantity.
Summarizing, mentioning any speed which
is higher ~M1.4 is pointless except if the fighter have internal
weapon bays, such as the F-22. The Raptor is able fly faster than
M1.5 and sustains for a short time this speed without afterburner.
M1.5 can be reached lower than maximal military throttle settings on
high (8-10+ km) altitude with full air to air ordnance (6 x AIM-120 +
2 x AIM-9). With full military throttle stick setting in AA
configuration the maximal speed is M1.78, still without using
afterburner. 4th generation fighters are able to perform only
M1.2-M1.4 – Eurofighter is the best with M1.4 – but with full
military throttle stick setting and above 10km+ and without any
external stores.
It is very likely that F-22 is able to
reach M1.5 without full military power even if carry bombs in
internal bay.(Currently only small fraction of the F-22 fleet has
strike capability, later Blocks will get strike capability by GPS
guided bombs. Of course pilots have to be trained for strike role to
use the capability of the “hardware”.(5)
The total weight difference between AA and AG configuration is small;
therefore the required angle of attack (and drag) for sustained
flight is very similar.
In short, currently the F-22 is the
only operational fighter in the world which has real supercruise*
capability, but even Raptor’s supercruise capability is restricted.
To maintain useful combat radius supercruise can last about 5-6
minutes which is enough for provide big advantage in BVR combat. F-22
is able to climb faster and accelerate better than any fighter
therefore the launch distance of its missiles can be boosted. (The
launch platform acts as a “1st stage” of an air to air missile.)
The weapon bay has major role in supporting the supercruise
capability, this is one of the good side effect of stealth
capability, which will be discussed later.
*Supercruise term used first by the
Lockheed Martin because of a simple reason, the LM’s product was
the first – YF-23 also was able to supercruise but lost the ATF
competition – which was able to do in combat scenario, not only in
very theoretical cases. The supercruise term in LM’s interpretation
means M1.5+ speed without afterburner.
Any marketing document which states
that X or Y 4th generation fighter is able to supercruise should be
ignored, they concerning on non combat configurations. These
statements do not meet the term of supercruise which is used for
F-22. Summarizing, supercruise concerning on F-22 means M1.5+ speed
with full armament in internal bays, for 4th generation fighters
supercruise mean only that are able to break M1.0 with maximal
military thrust setting and with minimal or no weapons at all.
European fighter manufacturers simply twisted the meaning of
supercruise term and never added to description the very strong
restrictions.
Even the very old F-111F Aardvark was
able to reach at low (!) altitude ~M1.1 with 1/3 fuel – this means
~10’0000 lbs because of huge internal fuel quantity. – but nobody
never promoted F-111F as a “supercruise capable strike fighter”,
because with ordnance in real combat situation was not able to
perform. The clean aerodynamic and variable sweep wings could provide
this capability for F-111. The unofficial top speed of
F-111F was
about M2.5 in clean configuration regardless never was designed to
reach this and its low thrust/weight ratio does not suggest this.
These issues indicate how important the clean configuration both for
theoretical and practical top speed, without internal bays talking
about supercruise capability is a joke.
Calling “antiquated” the
airframe of Super Hornet (aerodynamic conception) is one of the
biggest mistakes of the article. Super Hornet has the biggest
sustainable angle of attack (AoA) from 4th generation fighters which
do not have thrust vectoring capable engine. The maximal sustainable
AoA about 45-50 degrees, it represents how “antiquated” the
concept. The linked videos also are demonstrating the very big
instantaneous turn rate of Super Hornet in positive and negative G
turns either which is based on airframe and not on thrust.
The Super Hornet airframe is the latest
developed from 4th generation fighters even it is based on older
Hornet’s. It is very obvious that creating stealth capable –
which means not invisibility for radars, it will be explained more
detailed later – fighter was not possible, but reducing the radar
cross section got higher priority as even before for any 4th
generation fighter. Super Hornet radar cross section is not
comparable with “stealthy” airframes – such as F-117, F-22 or
F-35, which represent a different category – but as leaked
information suggest, it has the smallest RCS from 4th generation
fighters. If the author calls “antiquated” the Super
Hornet, should be doing the same with Gripen NG. Its airframe is not
as strongly redesigned as the Super Hornet, just a bit bigger to get
additional pylons under the fuselage. These new hardpoints allow
similar quantity ordnance as F-16C is able to carry. It is makes
similar Gripen NG to an F-16C instead the JAS-39C, which is similar
in size to F-20 Tigershark. The size increase impact on flight
performance will be explained later. It is also a good question why
is superior the aerodynamic conception of Gripen or Gripen NG
comparing with Super Hornet...? I cannot find any reason.
It
is the third generation of the Gripen fighter. Based on the Gripen
C/D airframe, the NG Gripen will have new and improved sensor
technology, fuel capacity, engine, and potentially thrust vectoring.
I’m glad that engine was mentioned,
only problem the false information and lack of interpretation. The
planned engine of the Gripen NG is F414G which is a modified F414.
(F414 engines are used on Super Hornets). Even of its bigger thrust
comparing with RM12 – is a modified and upgraded version of F404
which was built in F/A-18C/Ds – the performance of Gripen NG will
be the more or less the same or worse comparing with JAS-39C/D if
carries the theoretical full ordnance. Why? Because of the bigger
weight of the airframe, the bigger quantity of internal fuel, and
additional drag of more external stores consumes the bigger thrust,
especially at higher altitudes. The drag of Gripen NG is much higher
if the Meteor missiles are carried; it has much bigger drag than as
conventional air to air missile because it has not conventional
propulsion; besides the much bigger drag the Meteor also has big
impact of radar cross section. The Meteor has such a big effect on
combat radius, instead just calculating the different operational
range of Eurofighter with new missiles, test flights have started
measuring its reduced range.
Another option applying the latest and
stronger variant of Super Hornet’s engine, the F414EPE, but this
has strong impact on total cost because of another redesign; the
engine has not been matured. Why? It has not been integrated into any
aircraft, General Electric developed without signed contract. Without
F414EPE it is a false hope to expecting a really stronger Gripen and
even with F414EPE the flight performance will close to Super Hornet,
but as I can estimate still below the F-16C if they carry the same
qty. and category of ordnance.
I have no idea where came the idea of
the thrust vector control (TVC) capable engine. All variants of F414
were developed by the requirements of US Navy which never requested
the TVC capability. If the Volvo considers developing a TVC capable
engine from any of the two possible candidates, it means a very long
development and lots of money. In short, the TCV capable Gripen is
only dream, it has no real base. If anybody considers this option
won’t be cheap and easy. If author allowed himself such and
optimism on “hidden developing potential” why did he treat other
fighters differently...?
One more note, since the Cold War I can
recall only one big re-engine program in bigger scale. Because
F-16s
empty weight and drag in air to ground configuration were bigger and
bigger with new variants (higher Block number). The F100-PW-220
engines of Block 42 were replaced with -229 variant, but removed
engines could be used for F-15C fighter. This was likely one of the
main reason why was financially possible the later changes. If Gripen
NG won’t be manufactured with stronger and/or TVC capable engine it
can be stated that never will get later. If the thrust issue won’t
be solved from 1st manufactured Gripen NG, it never will be solved,
which has serious impact on flight performance.
Factor
1: Cost
This part is based mostly nothing,
because Gripen NG is currently a non existing aircraft, many of its
main equipments/items are not production – just think about the
engine – or their development has not been finished. Gripen GN is
not a product; it is only a conception currently, which has to be
developed. All development consist risks, which are meaning uncertain
costs therefore even a fix price for Gripen NG cannot be stated.
The author simply believed the
marketing speech about 4’700 USD/flight hour cost without any
interpretation and critics. First of all, just check only one factor,
the price of fuel. In the last two years was about 3 USD/US gal.,
which means about 0.8 USD/l. The average density of different types
of jet petrol is 800 kg/m3, which means about 1USD/kg
price.
The internal fuel capacity of Gripen NG
is about 3’300 kg, and of course it can carry drop tanks. The fuel
consumption is very mission dependent; during a dogfight and BVR
training within 30-40 minutes most of fuel can be consumed. Let’s
assume that 3’300 kg fuel/flight hour is the average consumption
during service. It can be longer or shorter depending or type of
flight (long range strike training, dogfight training, etc.) Only the
kerosene cost translating into specific flight hour cost is about
3’300 USD. This value represents a cost if the Gripen does not
require ground crew, pilot, spare parts, ground check and tons of
other caring. It should be obvious the 4’700 USD/flight hour is not
true, or is defined by such a method which is not comparable unless
knowing what is included. No one of other flight hour cost data
calculation method was defined in the article, therefore they are
almost useless. As a base let’s see how can be calculated the
flight hour cost.
We can get the smallest value if we
count resources only, which are spent on unit level, on the airbase.
The wage of maintenance crew, cost of jet petrol, the typical and
most common spare parts, bigger repairs which can be done without
major overhaul (depot level maintenance in US term.) If this method
is applied the specific cost is more or less constant. When comes
this time? If the operator already has the necessary experience, the
checks and maintenance tasks are routine activities. Upgrades, more
extensive but less regular checks, later structural reinforcements,
repair cost of serious mishaps and similar issues are not included if
we follow this method. In this case the specific flight hour cost is
very misleading, because there are “hidden”, not listed costs. It
is clearly visible that the quoted 4’700 USD/flight hour cost of
Gripen is something similar; many expenditure items are not counted
therefore should be ignored.
If anyone wishes to get a correct
specific flight hour cost value, it has to be accepted that the value
is dynamic thing during the life time of an airplane.(6)
In the chart of source is shown that flight our cost is not a
constant value. Scheduled checks, upgrades and many other things have
impact on cost. In fact the only value (cost) which should be
considered what is spent to build up and maintain a capability. All
expenditures should be included what was spent from procurement to
end of service time. Of course this means the final value of specific
cost can be calculated after the last aircraft have been retired, but
during the service moving average can be applied to get something for
comparison. If the procurement cost is excluded – assuming that a
fighter have to be bought in the same quantity regardless of their
price – the cost of operation still can be calculated following by
the “all included” method. Of course in this case the specific
cost will be much higher for any aircraft comparing with “clean”
cost, because serious upgrades, deeper checks, life extension can
mean millions or ten million USD expenditure concerning on a single
airframe during its service.
It is time to check the available data
– as a base – about existing Gripen variants. Hungary is leasing
12
JAS-39C and 2 JAS-39D. The Hungarian Gripens are not 100%
identical with Sweden Gripen fighters – fuselage are new, but wings
are not, they were previously used on older A/B airframes – and got
a Link 16 compatible data link and other changes because of NATO
operation requirements.
The leasing is not a widely used form
of procurement in military aviation but it has a good side effect.
Because of the support the cost of lease includes almost all cost
of operation; it represents the “all included” aspect.
Hungary pays only the wage of crew and the jet fuel; most of other
costs are included in the leasing contract. Hungary signed in 2003
for 10 years with 16’800 flight hours, was an extension for another
10 years in 2012 for more 16’800 hours. The price of first ten
years was 240 billion HUF in 2003, the cost of second 10 years is 490
billion (because of inflation and HUF exchange rate is weaker
comparing any major foreign currency). Counting with on 2012 HUF
value parity the specific flight hour costs are the followings (220
HUF = 1 USD):
1st ten year cost is about 20
million HUF / flight hour, which means about 90’000 USD / flight
hour.
2nd ten year cost is about 15
million HUF / flight hour, which means about 70’000 USD / flight
hour.
The result is quite shocking, because
the wages and price of fuel are not included, which means more
3-4k
USD/flight hour increase. Of course because of a new aircraft were
some additional cost, the support infrastructure, etc. also included
but even these items are not calculated the price tag is very high.
(Hungary bought weapons and targeting pods in another deal, their
price are not included in lease contract.) The mentioned costs are
representing the real cost of building up and maintaining of a
capability. The costs are above not included the price of aircraft,
because after 20 years or service Hungary still won’t own the
aircraft, but they can be bought for an unspecified (or classified)
price.
In we assume the linked flight hour
cost values about USAF’s fighters do not include the cost of
upgrades, later structural reinforcements, we should estimate them.
If we assume about 40 million USD/airframe for upgrade and more 20
million USD for depot level maintenance and life extension, the F-16C
is still much cheaper. These values are quite over estimated. The
most expensive fighter upgrade & life extension that I ever heard
was offered to India concerning their Mirage-2000 fighters.(7)
The specific cost of the package is about 40 million USD / airframe.
The life time of an F-16C and F-15C is
about 8’000 hours, the F-15E’s planned life span is 16’000
hours. If we add this 40-60 million USD the spec. flight our cost
increase in only ~5-7,5k USD/flight hour. If the specific cost is
counted for only 20 years of usage – which means in USAF about
250-300 hour/year for each airframe – the cost is still much lower
as for Gripen. Of course we can add the price of an F-16C on current
value, which is also ~40 million USD, but after estimation of “all
included” costs, building up and maintaining an F-16C fleet still
seems much cheaper, about 35’000 USD/flight hour and the fighter is
owned by the operator which is a huge difference comparing with
Hungarian Gripen leasing. The lease cost in USD increased for Hungary
because of value exchange rates but even counting this factor (max
25% increase) the Gripen is still more expensive.
Capabilities of an F-16C are not
conditional and “should be developed” category, they are
available, they are products. If you wish SEAD capability you can buy
now AGM-88 and AN/ASQ-213A, if you wish HOBS (high off-boresight) IR
missile with helmet display you can buy the JHMCS and AIM-9X, if you
want precision strike capability, you can buy different kind of laser
targeting pods and bombs. Not “when” and “if”, now.
There is no uncertainty, risks are minimal.
Structural analysis indicates the life
span of the airframe of F-15s can be increased dramatically and
likely won’t increase the specific flight hour cost. It is
expenditure but at the end of service the total life span in hours
will bigger.(8) Same case its engine; the
planned cycle of F100 is can be extended dramatically which is now
9000-18’000 cycle – depending on variant of F100 – the goal is
40’000 cycle.(9)
(Cycle is a typical heat stress
equivalent value which can be counted depending on engine operation.
Constant engine speed (RPM) mean less stress comparing a situation
where thrust is changed rapidly, for example in air combat
maneuvering.)
Why I mention this? Because it is
doable with F-16C/Ds and F-15C/Ds. USAF plans to keep considerable
quantity of F-16C/D (10) and F-15C/D
(Golden Eagle program) for decades, likely it is possible doing the
same with CF-188. Why is this important? I will back to this topic at
the end of the critics.(11)
Summarizing, declaring Gripen NG as the
less expensive solution seems to me quite a brave statement, without
any real base. Yes, even the current Gripen variants and Gripen NG
can be a very potent fighter, because they have undeveloped
potentials, but their cost factor is not the best and carriers big
uncertainty because possible developments. The technical content of
Gripen NG has not been finalized therefore the price is uncertain;
data about operation and maintenance cost are not available because
it is a non-existent aircraft.
Because of small fleet size, any
version of the Gripen never can be as matured and well explored as
Super Hornet or F-16. So far 500+ were built from Super Hornet and
thousands from different version of Falcon. What about Gripen? Less
than 250 have been built from all variants, the retirement of A/B
variants have been started in Sweden.
The Gripen NG has big potential for
later developing but this is true for other 4th and 4++ generation
fighters. All new developments which can be applied on Gripen NG, is
not impossible on other fighters. Moreover, many of these
developments on other aircraft are already available. USAF A-10
attackers have IR/UV missile approach warning systems (MAWS), on
Navy’s Super Hornets and USAF’s F-22 have AESA radar, towed radar
decoy are used since 1999, first in Allied Force on F-16Cs, BOL rails
are used on USAF’s F-15s, etc.
What about Sweden equipments? Their
AESA radar has been developed since late ‘90s and still is not
ready for integration, it is still in prototype phase. A fully
capable Gripen NG in 2017 seems to me only a dream.
Factor
2: Performance
With
regard to specifications, the Gripen and Eurofighter are about equal,
save for the fact that the Saab has obtained AESA radar, an asset the
Eurofighter currently lacks and the Gripen is a single engine fighter
whereas the Eurofighter is a twin engine fighter.
No, Gripen currently does not have
AESA, it may have later. The only European jet which is in service
and has electronically scanned array is the Rafale, but it has not
AESA type only PESA type radar, which means totally different
capability regardless of their similar names. In short, the AESA uses
hundreds or thousands of small modules generating a beam, PESA use
only one big emitter. The modules of AESA radar can be defined as
blocks, and all blocks can be used in different modes. For example, a
part of modules are used is air to air searching mode, while the rest
can be used create SAR (synthetic aperture radar) map.(12)
Of course the resolution of SAR map depends on the quantity of used
cells, as well as the sensitivity of radar in air to air search
mode.(13) In short, the AESA is much
flexible and knows much more as PESA type radars. Of course their
cost is another dimension and the required knowledge for
manufacturing. USA currently is the leading in AESA technology, on
Super Hornets, F-15Cs, F-22s and F-35s different types of radars have
been applied, and these are not prototypes. First AESA radars were
installed on USAF and Navy jets more than a decade ago. The contrast
is quite big.
They
both have similar power-to-weight ratios and wing loading capacities
and, although the Eurofighter enjoys a very slight advantage, they
are so close in performance that any advantage enjoyed by the
Eurofighter is negligible, particularly when compared to the vast
difference in price.
These statistical values are very
misleading, should be not used, it will be explained why. Because of
external stores top speed of 4th generation fighters more or less the
same in the same configuration, but their acceleration and
maneuverability are different in subsonic and transonic range. The
most important thing, their maneuverability is strongly dependent on
fuel level, quantity and types of carried external stores. This is
why so misleading the thrust/weight ratio and wing loading values
which are given mostly in air to air configuration. Let’s discuss
just a bit deeper this issue.
If we count with the same amount of
weapon for a Gripen and for example on an F/A-18E Super Hornet or
Strike Eagle, the relative cross section – means bigger drag –
and weight increase is bigger for a smaller fighter. If bigger and
heavier fighter has the same trust/weight ratio (t/w ratio) and wing
load in air to air or “clean” configuration – without any
external stores – as a smaller aircraft, the bigger preserves more
from its maneuverability, t/w ratio and wing load are better. Four
air to air missiles and two bigger bombs (2000 lbs size) are not a
big issue for an F-15E, but they are for Gripen. T/w ratio gives zero
information about drag which is a very important factor. It does not
important how good the t/w ratio if external stores create huge drag.
The wing loading does not reveal the lift-AoA characteristic, the
maximum available lift force and AoA limitations.
Because of the limitation a short
article cannot be fully explained as I wish, but another factor is
lack of exact data about all mentioned aircraft. If anyone wishes to
get really comparable data lots of performance envelope charts are
required.(14)These are a speed-Turn rate
chart with displayed iso-lines concerning on turn radius and specific
excess power (Ps). The charts show the performance values
with a certain weapon configuration, on a certain altitude. The
specific excess power shows the available climbing (ft/second) or
acceleration capability. If an aircraft have bigger Ps
value with the same speed and altitude as another in aircraft in the
same situation, generally it means it have better maneuverability. Of
course the highest instantaneous and sustainable turn rates also
counts.
What is important? The maneuverability
of the fighters in the typical speed and altitude range of air
combats. Where should be examined these capabilities? About 90+
percent of air combats since 1967 (3rd Arab-Israeli War) were below
25’000 feet and airspeed literally never was higher than M1.3.
During dogfights subsonic-transonic speed was typical. Supersonic
speed was mostly performed in beyond visual range (BVR) combats in
approaching phase, increasing the initial speed (range) of missiles.
What does it mean maneuverability? It
means the ability changing airspeed, direction and altitude in any
combination. The maneuverability cannot be explained using such
simple and misleading statistical values as trust/weight ratio and
wing loading. These will be explained later.
What is the problem with the flight
performance of Gripen NG? First of all Gripen NG does not exist,
therefore we should check the performance of JAS-39C. It has the
weakest performance from 4th generation fighter, its engine is simply
too weak, especially if carries full air to ground (AG) ordnance with
drop tanks. I had to chance speak a Hungarian fighter pilot, I quote
him:
“It is very painful a dogfight
against even F-16C Block30/32, the Falcon simply is more powerful
than a Gripen. JAS-39C Gripen has many advantages comparing with our
previous jet (MiG-29 9.12) in many areas (avionics, sensor & BVR
capabilities, data link, reliability, etc.), but definitely not its
flight performance which should be underlined...”
Air show demonstration demo flights are
performed at very low altitude, mostly below 1 km except some
maneuvers; therefore they show only a fraction of the “big
picture”. The trust depending on altitude and airspeed, these
define the thrust characteristic, which has serious effect of flight
performance. Therefore using ground testing (15)
thrust data of and calculating t/w ratio with this value is
pointless. The effect of airspeed and altitude, and the impact of
engine intake of airframe on thrust are also not measured.
Regardless of these conditions it
clearly visible that Gripen is not the most powerful fighter, in
fact, it is the weakest from 4th generation fighters. It cannot
perform such a long climb – especially the climb initiated at lower
speed – and high sustainable turn rate as other fighters. It is
highly unlikely that on higher altitude the situation changes in
favor to Gripen. The Gripen is not so bad, but definitely the
weakest among the 4th generation fighters, its flight performance
similar to Chinese JF-17 or F-20 Tigershark. (The F-20 was never
ordered by any country.)
Generally at low-med altitude Rafale,
F-15C, Eurofighter Typhoon, different MiG-29 and Su-27/30 fighters
represents the top category in maneuverability following by very
closely them the F-16C, F-15E and
Mirage-2000. Their performances
are very close to each other if the carry the same amount and type of
weapons, and have the same qty. of fuel.
(Because of conformal fuel tanks and
bigger empty weight Strike Eagle is slightly weaker even with
F100-PW-229 engines than F-15C with F100-PW-220. There are Strike
Eagle variants which equipped with GE F110 engines – some F-15K and
Saudi Eagles – but not so many F-15 airframes got the GE
manufactured engines.)
Close to these jets are the F/A-18C
Hornet and F/A-18E Super Hornet, and then come last JAS-39C. Super
Hornet is a bit exceptional, regardless of its thrust which on paper
is not extraordinary, but its aerodynamics concept is so good, their
demonstration flights are more powerful as the available
predestinates.(16)(17)
Both
fighters have very similar, armament, top speed, capacity, fuel
capacity, range, sensor technology, sensor fusion, helmet-mounted
display, situational awareness, speed, and maneuverability.
These are also not true. Because of
size of Typhoon armament is better scalable, its fuel qty. if much
bigger, most of Gripen fighter does not have helmet mounted display
and all sensors which required for better situational awareness (SA)
can be integrated any fighters, if the customer requests. Comparing
the maneuverability of the Gripen with Typhoon even in air to air
(AA) or clean configuration is very interesting. If the author just
saw only one demonstration flight should be note the strong
difference. Gripen is definitely weaker and decreases more its
performance with heavier payload.
By
comparison, the F-35A is a poor performer. It is not designed to
include supercruise capability and can only maintain supercruise for
a mere 241km. Both the Gripen and Eurofighter have full supercruise
capability at mach 1.2. The F-35A is also slow by fighter jet
standards. With a top speed of 1,930 kmph (Mach 1.6), it lags far
behind the Gripen, Eurofighter, which can both reach speeds above
mach 2. The F-35A is even slower than the Super Hornet and F-16
Fighting Falcon it is meant to replace.
Comparing with F-35 a non-existent
fighter is pointless; the top speed has been discussed. May the F-35
was not designed to supercruise but is able to do. Yes, the
theoretical top speed is lower as for other fighters, because the
airframe is optimized for high subsonic/low supersonic region. It
have been mentioned that what is important the maneuverability in the
most typical case of tactical situations. This is the zone where the
F-35 is similar to F-16C; JSF very likely has better acceleration and
specific excess power than Gripen NG. Yes, F-35’s maneuverability
is not exceptional – in a positive manner – but stealth
capability and sensors of F-35 – for example the
distributed-aperture sensor (18)(19) –
makes pointless to establish a better performance, it will provide
only limited advantage.
Both
the Gripen and Eurofighter have full supercruise capability at mach
1.2
After what I have explained so far it
should be obvious, that is not true. With AG stores and drop tanks no
one of 4th generation fighter can break M1.0 even they fly very high.
At low even with full afterburner the top speed is M1.0 or very close
to this value.
The
F-35A is also slow by fighter jet standards.
It has been explained what is the
useful speed region and why is pointless and false this statement.
F-35 is optimized to high subsonic range. In fact F-35 with same
armament – 2 x AIM-120 and 2 x 2000 lbs bomb – is faster than any
4th generation fighter because of the weapon bays. Also should be
noted that acceleration is also very important. Even the +50 year old
MiG-21F-13 was able to reach M2.0 at very high, but its acceleration
was smaller comparing with currently used 4th generation jets.
The
F-35A is even slower than the Super Hornet and F-16 Fighting Falcon
it is meant to replace.
Yes, if 4th generation fighters do not
carry any weapons and only the theoretical top speed is on the table,
but in combat configuration this is not true.
Maneuverability
is also an issue with the F-35A. Its small wing design does not allow
for quick maneuvers using tight turn radius. The Gripen and
Eurofighter excel in the area of maneuverability, providing an
additional advantage in a combat situation.
First of all, the about 1/3 of total
lift force on advanced fighters are generated by fuselage and not the
wings in high AoA cases. Almost the whole airframe acts as a big
wing, but of course wings have better “efficiency” (lift/drag
coefficient ratio). This is one of the reasons why so misleading the
wing loading value, because it does not cover the fuselage area and
tells 0 information about how efficient is the fuselage...
Another big mistake mention in the same
sentence quick turn and tight turn. If the author checked only one
performance chart what I mentioned should discover on transonic speed
the limiting factor for turn rate typically is the maximal allowable
G on low-med altitude. The smallest turn radius is available
generally at much lower speed with smaller turn rate; the limiting
factor is maximal AoA, the available lift force. (Of course the trust
and lift-drag relation defines the energy loss during the turns.)
F-35 sooner or later will be perform an
unrestricted demo flight on air show as did F-22 in Farnborough in
summer of 2008, 2,5 years after the first wing reached initial
operation capability (IOC) status. (PAK-FA is the same case, it still
have not performed an unrestricted demo.) As long as this demo have
not been done the “poor performer” and similar unverified
statements should not be made, especially from a person how who does
not have any knowledge about aerodynamics. We have seen how
“accurate” the author’s knowledge about importance top speed of
fighters was. Yes, there have been revealed some issues about
performance issues, but even in more detailed documents the
circumstances – altitude, speed, gross weight, loadout – and
possible solutions for fix were not discussed.(20)
He should be more careful before said
so big “facts” about aerodynamics and flight performance of F-35,
and especially if about comparison with a nonexistent
Gripen variant. He simply does not know the basics requirements of
dogfights, therefore he is not able quantifying the available
factors.
Another
disadvantage that reduces the F-35A’s capabilities is its limited
internal weapons capacity. With four internal hardpoints, the F-35A
cannot deliver nearly as much in payload, particularly when compared
to the Russian Su-35, which has twelve hardpoints, the Eurofighter,
which has thirteen hardpoints, and the NG Gripen, which will have
twelve hardpoints. The F-35A can carry additional fuel and weapons
externally using its six external hardpoints, but this negates the
F-35A’s already questionable stealth advantage, which is examined
later, and would not be advisable in a combat situation.
Here comes another typical mistake.
Because no one of 4th generation fighter has internal bays, why
should count F-35 weapon delivery capacity only with weapon bays...?
This is one of the most annoying error, because an advantage of F-35
is treated as a disadvantage. Why? Because all other fighter which do
not have internal bay carry the same amount of weapon as F-35 suffer
more form increased drag. The weapons under fuselage and wings not
only create drag, but have negative impact on the lift/drag ratio of
the complete airframe, because changes the airflow structure,
altering the original aerodynamic form.
Altering the cross section
characteristic by external stores has also effect on wave drag;
because what is called “area rule”.(21)
In strike configuration if 4th generation fighter carriers the same
amount weapons as F-35 they suffer from very rapid cross section area
increase, their cross section characteristics are less close to
ideal.
Of course if F-35 uses wing pylons lose
stealth capability, but rest of conventional fighters which have only
external stores still have bigger radar cross section (RCS), because
their base RCS is bigger, and not only some, but all weapons
are carried external hardpoints. If external carrying capability of
JSF used, it is able to carry same or more weapons as any competitor
but much smaller drag increase and less altered airflow structure.
Why is this advantage simply “forgotten” and neglected? If the
external weapons have been used even the pylons can be jettisoned to
reduce the radar cross section. The huge quantity of external
hardpoints supports the flexible weapon configurations, if stealth
capability if no necessary. Yes, the internal capacity of F-35 is no
so big, but it better to be low observable by radars – which
provide very big tactical advantage – rather suffers from huge drag
and reduced range because of huge quantity of external stores. The
initial phase in conflict where enemy air defense and fighters have
their full strength stealth capability is very useful.
Yes, during the latest conflict in
Libya Rafale and other strike fighters carried lots of bombs and drop
tanks, but the enemy air defense activity was minimal, and meant only
very old Soviet air defense systems, there were no. air to air at
all. Against an enemy which have latest air defense systems and
advanced fighters nobody would send a fully packed fighter with
maximal ordnance, because it has very serious impact on flight
performance and range.
The number of hardpoints provides the
flexible configurations for 4th generation fighters as well as for
F-35 the extra wing hardpoints, but the performance impact strongly
limits the number of really useful configurations of 4th generation
fighters. What is the typical configuration? Below you can see the
available hardpoints and typical weapons for some advanced fighter
aircraft.
What we can see? Theoretically
Eurofighter and bigger aircraft can carry typically 4 x 2000 lbs
bombs or different types of bigger air to ground missiles, besides
some BVR and short range AA missiles, and mostly at least one drop
tank.(29) Only problem that such a
configuration has no sense because of the mentioned issues. Too small
range and strongly reduced maneuverability. On the picture below is a
typical example about illogical load on a Eurofighter.
Similar not useful weapon load easily
can be imagined for other fighters. For example F-15E Strike Eagle
has seven hardpoints – 1 x centerline pylon, 4 x fuselage pylons, 2
x wing pylons – where can be put 2000 lbs size bombs moreover, on
CL and wing hardpoints the maximal bomb weight is 5000 lbs.
Theoretically
7 x 2000 lbs size bomb – which can be precision
guided or “dumb” bomb either – or 3 x 5000 lbs, which means 3 x
GBU-28 can be loaded. Only problem, these weapon loads have no sense.
Similar case on Su-35 the 32 x 250 kg or the maximal quantity of big
precision guided air to surface (AS) such as 6 x Kh-29. F-15E is also
able to carry huge quantity of dumb bombs; of course this is
pointless capability.(30) On the link the
Strike Eagle Demonstrator is presented, it was a modified F-15B for
proving the concept.
What is the
configuration typical and useful? If we check the link about Rafale
we get the right answer.(31) I have to say
it is rare such a source which illustrates useful, and not the
theoretical loads. What is typical on strike missions?
2 x short range IR missiles
2-4 x BVR air to air missiles
(rarely 6)
2 x drop tanks
1 x laser targeting pod or other
pod
2x2000 lbs or 2x1000 or 4x1000 lbs
or 4-8 x 500 lbs or one bigger stand-off weapons – for example
Taurus of AGM-158 – under each wing or fuselage hardpoints.
(Sooner or later next generation of small GPS guided bombs will be
widely used)
Very big bombs or air to surface
missiles mostly carried under centerline, for ex. GBU-28 on F-15E. Of
course much more combinations are available besides the typical ones,
but not all are as balanced as typical ones.
In air to air configuration Su-30MK,
Su-35 and Super Hornet can carry 8 x BVR and 2 x short range IR
guided missiles, but these configurations are also not useful. In
most of situations simply there are not so many potential targets –
regardless of simultaneous engagement capability, which also have
limitations – except massive cruise missile attack. For combat air
patrols (BARCAP) loiter time is important which mean at least pair of
drop tanks on Super Hornet, Rafale and Eurofighter and F-16C. (F-15s
are able to carry all drop tanks with full AA ordnance.) Even AA
missiles have less drag as big bombs, but dual pylons of AMRAAM and
drag of 10 air to air missiles comparable to a “light” strike
configuration, therefore in dogfight are not useful. Dogfight can be
happened anytime therefore it is not a good idea to fly with full
armament with smaller aircraft or which have smaller thrust.
(Fighter variants of F-15s have such a
big thrust that full AA armament is not a big issue, especially since
use smaller AIM-120 instead AIM-7. Four missiles are carried on
fuselage hardpoints the drag increase less as if they are carried on
wing racks as on Hornets and other fighters.)
Generally the advantage of bigger
aircraft that their performance is less degraded if carries the same
amount of weapons as smaller fighters. All bigger 4th generation
fighters have at least the same (Super Hornet) or (much) better
performance (Rafale, F-15E, EF Typhoon) than Gripen, therefore in AA
and especially in AG configurations they are more powerful.
If we check the F-35 we can see it has
the same amount of wing pylon as Gripen NG.(32)(33)
If necessary on inner wing hardpoints even the heaviest bomb can be
carried which is designed for tactical fighters. Yes, JSF loses the
stealth capability but rest of 4th generation fighters do not have at
all this capability, therefore this is not disadvantage. What is the
big difference? With much smaller armament but F-35 can be stealth,
but no one of 4th generation fighter are able to reach this. This is
what I call real flexibility, firepower, RCS and range are well
scalable as the environment demands. If necessary because of any
reason on wing pylons likely dual AIM-120 launchers can be applied. I
do not know what is the exact plan, but if we accept marketing stuff
of Gripen NG this means only a very light assumption for JSF. F-35
has integrated laser target designator and IR camera system, does not
rely on pods, in stealth configuration also available this
capability.
The Gripen, Gripen NG and F-16
typically can carry less as the listed items, because simply does not
have enough pylons. Generally bigger fighters even are able to carry
more does not carry the maximal weapon quantity to achieve a
reasonable balance between firepower, of range and maneuverability.
Calling “questionable” the stealth capability is quite funny, I
will explain this later.
Here is some marketing material about
Gripen NG, on the picture we can see what have been mentioned.(34)
On the picture above the quantity of carried weapons are very
impressive, only problem that is theoretical. A part of rack and
launchers do not exist, they are nice 3D models on CGI images but
they haven’t been developed. The usefulness of this configuration
is limited, because of huge drag. With this configuration even an
F414EPE powered Gripen NG will have quite weak performance and combat
radius also in not the best. What can be a balanced load? Two drop
tanks instead SDB bombs and AG ordnance on inner wing hardpoints or
vice versa, plus AMRAAM instead of Meteor missiles or only 1-1 Meteor
on each wing, because of bigger drag of Meteors.
On the following linked image problem
is the same, we can see weapons and racks which have not been
developed or still not in production.(35)
Where were mentioned the risks, cost and deadlines in the article...?
Number of hardpoints is not everything especially if some cannot be
used simultaneously, I think here about fuselage hardpoints.
Factor
3: Compatibility and Weapons Capacity
The
F-35A cannot yet carry the upcoming MBDA Meteor air-to-air missile;
the most advanced NATO compatible air-to-air missile in the world,
which is a major disadvantage in air-to-air combat, particularly in
terms of engaging a target that is beyond visual range.
Integration is not impossible, at least
on external hardpoints can be usable if won’t be developed such a
variant which be loaded into weapon bays. Because hundreds of F-35
will be exported, it would be a very illogical decision from MBDA if
not to develop such a Meteor variant, because dozens of potential
customer will be on the market. So far only conception art have been
released but if we accept the CGI images about Gripen NG this is not
so “what if “ category for F-35.(36)
Plans
to modify the MBDA Meteor to fit into the F-35A’s internal weapons
bays have been proposed, but these plans are uncertain and adds to
the already monstrous price tag.
Quite a strange aspect, monstrous price
tag can be given only for F-35, but for an undeveloped Gripen variant
with non integrated weapons the author did not apply the same point
of view...
The
Gripen and Eurofighter are both already compatible with the MBDA
Meteor, along with virtually every other NATO compatible weapon
available, giving them a significant combat advantage over the F-35A.
As long as Meteor does not exist, what
advantage are we speaking...? They have the same BVR missile
(AMRAAM), but F-35 will get also a new AMRAAM variant, the D version
sooner or later as well as other fighters. F-35 has stealth
capability which is a major advantage in BVR combat.
Even
if an F-35A compatible version of the Meteor is developed in the
future, that would not increase the capability of F-35A to such an
extent as to justify the exorbitant price and poor performance in
other areas.
This is the point where I thought that
author lost his common sense. All other fighters without weapon bay
suffer from the bigger drag of Meteor and RCS increase, but F-35 is
not if we assume a bay compatible variant. Because of bigger drag of
Meteor 4th gen. fighters in AA configuration likely will carry
maximum
4 x Meteor and 2 x AMRAAM or short range IR missiles to
maintain a reasonable range. The range, RCS and performance impact up
to 4 Meteor missiles is zero for F-35, but not for other fighter.
The
F-35A also cannot carry the AGM-65 Maverick air-to-ground missile as
it does not fit in the internal weapons bay.
In the age of long range GPS or
combined LJDAM guided gliding bombs the AGM-65 is an outdated and
very expensive weapon because of its rocket engine. No one of AGM-65
has GPS guidance therefore it is not an all weather category weapon.
In short, F-35 does not require AGM-65, will have better weapons for
example AGM-154 and GBU-39 SDB. Because of the rocket engine and
complicated elector optical / laser tracker system a price of AGM-65
is about 100’000+ USD, comparing with the price of a JDAM kit is
about 20’000 USD.
This
means that on retirement of the CF-18s, all ammunition that is not
compatible with the F-35A’s internal weapons bay becomes
practically useless.
RCAF has GPS guided bombs and GBU-12 –
these already have been used in Afghanistan and over Libya – and
AMRAAMs also can be used. (Likely Sidewinder either.) Maybe software
update is required because of the requirements of internal bay
launch, but the hardware is usable. Did the author think that all
European and other operator will scrap the huge stockpile of
precision guided bombs and air to air missiles because of F-35...?
The
F-35A also presents a problem in terms of integration into Canada’s
existing air-infrastructure due to its method of midair refuelling:
the “flying boom” method. The flying boom method is only used by
the U.S. Air Force. Virtually every other air force in the world,
including Canada, uses the “probe-and-drogue” method. Canada’s
CF-18s and CC-150 Polaris aerial tankers use this method
What a nice generalization. What does
it mean every other air force...? Thousands of F-16s are in service
in the world in more than 20 countries, only a fraction of Falcons
were modified for basket refueling method. Almost a thousand F-15 are
in service not only in USAF (Japan, Saudi-Arabia, Israel, South
Korea, and Singapore), all with boom refueling method.
Other issue that RCAF currently has
only two bigger tankers, it is not possible build real combat support
capability based on just pair of tankers. RCAF has five smaller,
which are modified C-130s, but comparing with internal fuel qty. of
F-35 they are too small for combat operation, but they can be used
for training. 100% availability is only a dream because of
maintenance issues, therefore sometimes only one is available. How
many fighters can be supported in any operation by a single tanker?
Only some, therefore if RCAF needs tankers for supporting any
operations other NATO members have to support jets of RCAF. If RCAF
really wish to have an own tanker fleet for establishing a real
capability at least 6-8 tankers required for a fighter fleet which
consist 70-80 aircraft. New tankers can be ordered to be able to use
both refueling methods.(37)(38) It can be
done with pods, but can be used adapter on end of the boom. Neither
of the linked solution is expensive of technically impossible...
If RCAF won’t have resource buy new
tankers – or simply does not want – modifying the fuel system of
F-35A is not a serious issue because for F-35B and F-35C, the
method have been developed and applied. Yes, their airframes are not
the same, F-35A is different, but this is not the world hardest
technical issue... Hungarian Gripen fighters later were modified for
aerial refueling, even the small airframe the refueling probe is not
fixed, can be retracted into airframe.
Another option is buying F-35C. May not
only Canada will be the only country who will order the naval variant
regardless does not have carrier, Turkey also consider this option.
(Not because of refueling issues.) Question is the effect any of this
decisions the on fixed price contract.
Using
an allied or private midair refuelling tanker adds to the already
exorbitant costs and means Canada cannot operate its fighter jet
fleet independently.
Only with two tankers we cannot speak
about independent capability. RCAF has about 70 Hornet fighters,
comparing the total number of fighters two tankers are enough for
training but not for larger combat operation supporting dozens of
fighters. During Operation Odyssey Dawn RCAF sent both tanker into
Europe with about half dozen of Hornets.
Modifying
the F-35A to use a probe-and-drogue system is possible, but it adds
to the ever-increasing costs.
No, they do not have to be modified if
RCAF buy new tankers; but even if they have to bee, not a serious
issue, especially if we count the total life cycle cost of F-35s.
(Total life cycle cost of F-35 will be commented in the end of
critics again.)
Factor
4: Sensors and Situational Awareness
Part
of the reason the F-35A was developed was to provide excellent
situational awareness to the pilot. This is achieved through a wide
range of sensors, data link capability, sensor fusion, Link 16 data
link, and a helmet mounted display. The Gripen C/D already offers all
these features and the NG Gripen will expand and improve on them.
No, currently operational C/D Gripens
do not have MAWS; only on Demo have been built the system, Similar
equipment as DAS on F-35 are not available any fighter in the world.
Only on South-African Gripen is available the helmet display.
For
example, the NG Gripen will include the ES-05 Raven AESA radar, an
upgrade over the C/D Gripen’s
PS-05/A radar.
The development of AESA radar has not
been finished moreover, USA have decades ahead any other AESA
developer.
The
F-35A’s sensor features, while impressive on paper, have yet to be
fully developed and are still being tested.
One from the linked test video about
DAS is almost 3 years old. So much about the “not fully developed”
statement... The first batch of F-35 has been manufactured, the test
program progressing ahead day by day. I ask again, where is at least
one prototype Gripen NG? No, Gripen Demo is not a Gripen NG; it is
very far from the Gripen NG.
The
Eurofighter and Gripen sensor suites have been more thoroughly
tested, so their capabilities are firmly known. The F-35A’s sensor
technology is not so significant that it justifies the overall poorer
performance in other areas and the vastly increased cost. It comes
back to the cost-to-performance ratio. The F-35A simply costs too
much and delivers too little.
Gripen NG airframe does not exist and
as I have mentioned most of the main equipments are not done
therefore is quite an interesting statement the “thoroughly
tested” part. Maybe independently some, but not in the final
airframe, the product cannot be tested, because it does not exist.
This is the point where I had to think
why released in latest years so many articles from authors who do not
have any necessary knowledge and skills for writing an objective
stuff. Most of them do not know enough about physics and military
aviation. Why think so many journalists if they can (?) write about
business life, politics, and public events or law they have the
skills for military aviation relying on a bunch of links and
marketing stuff without critics is very unwise. Just after I have
read the first paragraph of article I know what will come...
My teacher in the university said, he
don’t want live a world where a baker do the job of a brain surgeon
and the surgeon do the job of a baker. Maybe the quote helps to
understand what I felt when I read the article...
1.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLka4GoUbLo.
2.
http://aviationintel.com/2011/11/30/americas-f-15s-will-be-around-for-decades/.
3. Ethell, Jeff – F-15 Eagle, page
30.
4.
http://publicintelligence.net/hellenic-air-force-f-16cd-flight-manuals/
F-16C/D SUPPLEMENTAL FLIGHT MANUAL T.O. GR1F-16CJ-1-1, page 404.
5.
http://wiki.scramble.nl/index.php/Lockheed_Martin_F-22_Raptor#Blocks
.
6.
http://www.flightglobal.com/blogs/the-dewline/2011/08/exclusive-us-air-force-combat.html
.
7.
http://www.indianexpress.com/news/indiainksmiragedeal-francesaysnotopak/600042/
.
8.
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/us-air-force-looks-to-dramatically-extend-f-15-service-life-365200/
.
9. Aviation Week, October 22. 2012,
page 27.
10.
http://www.flightglobal.com/blogs/the-dewline/2012/08/usaf-spells-out-f-16-upgrade-p.html.
11.
http://aviationintel.com/2011/11/30/americas-f-15s-will-be-around-for-decades/.
12.
http://www.radartutorial.eu/20.airborne/ab07.en.html.
13.
http://en.valka.cz/attachments/5029/1246965185_AN_APG-81_mapa.jpg.
14.
http://web.deu.edu.tr/atiksu/ana45/avi01.jpg.
15.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/7f/011113-N-9746C-001_Engine_Test_at_Sea.jpg
.
16.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FeDWlJauHwQ.
17.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2CEeY_Cdg0.
18.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZrvAFRhQZc .
19.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fHZO0T5mDYU.
20.
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/reduced-f-35-performance-specifications-may-have-significant-operational-impact-381683/
.
21.
http://www.aerospaceweb.org/question/aerodynamics/q0240.shtml .
22.
http://www.ausairpower.net/USN/000-Super-Bug-loadout.jpg .
23.
http://www.ausairpower.net/XIMG/Su-30MK2_sheme_b_eng.gif.
24.
http://www.uacrussia.ru/common/img/uploaded/military_planes/Su-35/Su-35_weapons.jpg.
25.
http://www.ausairpower.net/XIMG/Su-35-KNAAPO-Brochure-Loadouts-2008.png.
26.
http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/235/rafaleweaponoptions6ou.jpg.
27.
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4QelP_YJOQDf0MZ0qM7aSbGkGqWvNOygfsvWtmdX1I5TGWVv5mbBn8diRiMIOoVp6nGfnliwbFna_KULN_nRIqBAhTYBA88kvll9YUEypRCpW9uQoSc2jwuDAJyxY0CodASYrl76H3yVK/s1600/TYPHOON+LOADOUT+CHART+copy.jpg.
28.
http://www.f-15e.info/joomla/en/weapons/loadout-configurations.
29.
http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ac/row/eurofighter-airinter.jpg.
30.
http://static.thisdayinaviation.com/wp-content/uploads/tdia//2012/08/McDonnell-Douglas-F-15E-Strike-Eagle-prototype-modified-F-15B-4-MC-71-0291.jpg.
31.
http://rafalenews.blogspot.hu/p/rafale-weapon-load-out.html.
32.
http://i619.photobucket.com/albums/tt271/SpudmanWP/F-35_Weapon_Stations.jpg
.
33.
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWpD9EAKCMRnl7-9JwjLGFU44zNaHm1kz-RlyahqJARHumgiv9wD61UcgsZl7nyzIkgKkfwbd3f1IyESYi66KeEWNUsE8q3VQEin8q1x-2hYfDS8NOP9dCGTt3RAE3V16pJ1ovJG62lwjy/s1600/F35ctolstores.jpg
.
34.
http://img.docstoccdn.com/thumb/orig/50528037.png.
35.
http://www.aereo.jor.br/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/gripen-ng.jpg.
36.
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/picture-mbda-reveals-clipped-fin-meteor-for-f-35-347416/
.
37.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4a/Boeing_KC-135E_boom_drogue_adapter.JPEG.
38.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9a/Boeing_KC-135R_Multipoint_Refueling.JPEG.
39.
https://sites.google.com/site/samsimulator1972/home.
40.
http://www.airforce-magazine.com/MagazineArchive/Pages/2008/February%202008/0208reformers.aspx.
41.
http://aviationintel.com/2011/11/30/americas-f-15s-will-be-around-for-decades/.
1.Foreword
This critic was summoned by an article
which was published on online board of Ottawa Citizen. The article
portrays loosely most of the mentioned fighter aircraft concerning
their capabilities and potential. The author collected many links,
but because of misinterpretation, lack of criticism and understanding
and knowing the basics of military aviation and physics, the
conclusions of the article are false. Even a fixed point of view, a
conception is missing. If something is mentioned, which good for
Gripen NG, all other consequences of the aspect were not considered.
If something is just guessing or optimistic assumption for Gripen NG,
this aspect is not applied in similar way for other competitors. This
is such an error which should not be allowed.
For easier understanding I quote
certain parts of the original article. I do not use similar links as
the author did for “verification” because marketing stuff and
similar types of sources have to be judged with critical eyes or
simply disregarded. The critic pinpoints only the most critical
errors of the article, but such a deep and detailed analysis which I
wished to make was not possible. It would be too long, and most of
reader never read it because of the too hard physics and technical
content, the critics had to be cut making understandable for average
readers. (Even using this aspect the critic is much longer as the
criticized article.)
2.Critics – Part I
Candidates:
The Various Alternatives
While
the Rafale performs very well, it is hindered by its incompatibility
with most NATO standard weapons, which Canada stockpiles. This means
that Canada would be dependent on French munitions and our existing
weapons could not be used.
This is only partially true. Later the
article many times refers the MBDA Meteor as a possible BVR missile
for Gripen NG. Rafale also will be the one of the platforms of Meteor
missile, the incompatibly concerning mostly air to ground weapons. In
fact Rafale is able to use some US laser guided bombs from Paveway
family, even the most advanced combined laser/GPS guided variants.
The article stands that Gripen NG will
able to use any weapons which is shown on marketing brochures, which
is not true. Most of displayed weapons on currently used Gripen
fighters never were tested and integrated, neither on Gripen Demo
which is very far from the Gripen NG. If the author accepts the
assumption that Gripen NG will be able to use so many types of
weapons as promoted on brochures – for an unknown and never
mentioned cost – it should be allowed this premise for all other
mentioned aircraft. Weapon integration is not impossible “just”
an additional cost factor, not only for other competitors, but Gripen
NG either.
Though
still a very capable fighter, the Super Hornet is also not the best
of these alternatives due to an antiquated air frame and a relatively
low top speed of mach 1.8. The two most promising alternatives are
the Next Generation Gripen and the Eurofighter.
Mentioning a theoretical top speed
clearly shows that the author does not have even the basic knowledge
about aerodynamics and real combat capabilities of any 4th generation
or supersonic fighter. The maximal speed of Hornet (~M1.8) is
theoretical for any fighter in real tactical situations. Fighters can
reach this speed only with minimal or no weapons (except the F-22) on
very high altitude (10 km+), and the price is very high if any
aircraft try reaching this speed, their combat range is minimal.
There are only two major exceptions from this “rule” the MiG-25
Foxbat and MiG-31 Foxhound. Both fighters are very special, they were
designed as a “homeland interceptor” for ПВО (противовоздушная
оборона, in English form PVO) and not tactical fighter against
enemy fighters.
(Some countries tried use MiG-25
against fighters, but these attempts were mostly unsuccessful. During
Operation Desert Storm likely a MiG-25 downed in the first night an
F/A-18 Hornet, but the high top speed of MiG-25 was not acted. The
Foxbat and its prey flew at medium altitude where neither top speed
nor acceleration of the MiG-25 exceptional or superior, any other
Iraqi fighter could achieve that victory in the same case with IR
guided missile. The very crowded airspace and strict rules of
engagement made possible for Iraqi Foxbat to penetrate into a big
package and downed a fighter likely with an infra red guided R-40
missile; therefore the Hornet’s pilot was not aware of the attack,
because no one of sensors indicated the missile launch.)
Back for top speed through an exact
example, why is pointless mentioning a completely theoretical top
speed. The example is the record breaking variant of F-15A, the
Streak Eagle.(1) It was a lightened F-15A,
some non essential systems and painting were removed, its empty
weight was smaller about 2’800 lbs comparing with a combat capable
Eagle. Even this special Eagle variant with about 50% internal fuel
(~6’000 lbs) required two and a half minutes to climb the altitude
(30’000+ feet) and accelerate where M2.0 speed is possible. The
Streak Eagle consumed almost the total fuel quantity during the
record breaking, less than 1’500 lbs remained for safe return.
During the record breaking flight after reached M2.2 the Streak Eagle
performed a zoom climb.(2) At very high
altitude the engine flameout was unavoidable, so roughly after 3
minutes of full afterburner usage the F-15 used most of fuel –
F-15A’s total internal fuel qty. was about 11’850 lbs – the
farthest point during the record flight from airbase was only 55 km.
(Volume of tanks are fixed, the density depends on type of fuel.) The
acceleration was huge because Streak Eagle weight was smaller as an
armed F-15, and of course carried no external stores. The example
shows how small is the combat radius of fighters if they have to
climb and try reaching their top speed. Of course it is possible to
climb slower to 10km altitude then accelerate, but the range
difference won’t be huge comparing with subsonic cruise range.
(As I know 20km+ climbing record still
stand, officially never were beaten by any other fighter.
Unofficially some lower altitude of climb records of Streak Eagle was
beaten by a test GE F110 engine powered F-15E, which was not
lightened.)
What about restriction of external
stores and weapons? A fully armed F-15A top speed is about M1.7 with
4 x AIM-7 Sparrow and 4 x AIM-9 Sidewinder with standard day
conditions.(3)
After taking off, climbing then
performing an intercept with full afterburner Eagle’s combat radius
is about only about 100 nautical miles (~180 km) and during the trip
to home the fighter is literally defenseless, because of low fuel
level. Regardless Eagles nowadays carry AIM-120 instead AIM-7 these
values are not so different. Of course if Eagle climb with drop tanks
then drop them radius is bigger, but supersonic combat radius is
always much smaller than subsonic cruise range
If we count with aerial refuel at
medium altitude then performing an interception at high altitude for
a CAP (combat air patrol) station the Eagle still cannot fly far from
tanker. After a very short time – about 6-8 minutes – should turn
back having enough fuel for safe trip to tanker to home and be able
to react appearing threats.
So far the maximal speed was counted
only in air to air configuration, with air to ground ordnance and
drop tanks the top speed is about M1.2-1.4 for any 4th generation
fighter, but only if they are flying at least
20-30 thousand
feet. The chart in the link represents the flight envelope of an
F-16C with F110-GE-129 engine, with drag index 150. (4)
The 150 drag index value means roughly the following weapon
configuration:
2 x AIM-120 on 1/9 stations
(wingtip)
2 x AIM-9 on 2/9 stations (outer
wing hardpoint)
2 x GBU-24 or similar size bombs
on 3/7 stations (middle wing hardpoint)
2 x 370 gal. drop tank on 4/6
stations (inner wing hardpoint)
1 x laser targeting pod on 5R
station (right side of intake, under fuselage)
If the F-16C in the example accelerates
form M0.9 to M1.25 consumes lots of fuel and takes quite a long time.
On 30k feet F-16C with – with empty drop tanks means about 32’000
lbs gross weight – the required time is about 70 seconds and
consumes 700 lbs fuel, which is about 10% of total internal quantity.
Summarizing, mentioning any speed which
is higher ~M1.4 is pointless except if the fighter have internal
weapon bays, such as the F-22. The Raptor is able fly faster than
M1.5 and sustains for a short time this speed without afterburner.
M1.5 can be reached lower than maximal military throttle settings on
high (8-10+ km) altitude with full air to air ordnance (6 x AIM-120 +
2 x AIM-9). With full military throttle stick setting in AA
configuration the maximal speed is M1.78, still without using
afterburner. 4th generation fighters are able to perform only
M1.2-M1.4 – Eurofighter is the best with M1.4 – but with full
military throttle stick setting and above 10km+ and without any
external stores.
It is very likely that F-22 is able to
reach M1.5 without full military power even if carry bombs in
internal bay.(Currently only small fraction of the F-22 fleet has
strike capability, later Blocks will get strike capability by GPS
guided bombs. Of course pilots have to be trained for strike role to
use the capability of the “hardware”.(5)
The total weight difference between AA and AG configuration is small;
therefore the required angle of attack (and drag) for sustained
flight is very similar.
In short, currently the F-22 is the
only operational fighter in the world which has real supercruise*
capability, but even Raptor’s supercruise capability is restricted.
To maintain useful combat radius supercruise can last about 5-6
minutes which is enough for provide big advantage in BVR combat. F-22
is able to climb faster and accelerate better than any fighter
therefore the launch distance of its missiles can be boosted. (The
launch platform acts as a “1st stage” of an air to air missile.)
The weapon bay has major role in supporting the supercruise
capability, this is one of the good side effect of stealth
capability, which will be discussed later.
*Supercruise term used first by the
Lockheed Martin because of a simple reason, the LM’s product was
the first – YF-23 also was able to supercruise but lost the ATF
competition – which was able to do in combat scenario, not only in
very theoretical cases. The supercruise term in LM’s interpretation
means M1.5+ speed without afterburner.
Any marketing document which states
that X or Y 4th generation fighter is able to supercruise should be
ignored, they concerning on non combat configurations. These
statements do not meet the term of supercruise which is used for
F-22. Summarizing, supercruise concerning on F-22 means M1.5+ speed
with full armament in internal bays, for 4th generation fighters
supercruise mean only that are able to break M1.0 with maximal
military thrust setting and with minimal or no weapons at all.
European fighter manufacturers simply twisted the meaning of
supercruise term and never added to description the very strong
restrictions.
Even the very old F-111F Aardvark was
able to reach at low (!) altitude ~M1.1 with 1/3 fuel – this means
~10’0000 lbs because of huge internal fuel quantity. – but nobody
never promoted F-111F as a “supercruise capable strike fighter”,
because with ordnance in real combat situation was not able to
perform. The clean aerodynamic and variable sweep wings could provide
this capability for F-111. The unofficial top speed of
F-111F was
about M2.5 in clean configuration regardless never was designed to
reach this and its low thrust/weight ratio does not suggest this.
These issues indicate how important the clean configuration both for
theoretical and practical top speed, without internal bays talking
about supercruise capability is a joke.
Calling “antiquated” the
airframe of Super Hornet (aerodynamic conception) is one of the
biggest mistakes of the article. Super Hornet has the biggest
sustainable angle of attack (AoA) from 4th generation fighters which
do not have thrust vectoring capable engine. The maximal sustainable
AoA about 45-50 degrees, it represents how “antiquated” the
concept. The linked videos also are demonstrating the very big
instantaneous turn rate of Super Hornet in positive and negative G
turns either which is based on airframe and not on thrust.
The Super Hornet airframe is the latest
developed from 4th generation fighters even it is based on older
Hornet’s. It is very obvious that creating stealth capable –
which means not invisibility for radars, it will be explained more
detailed later – fighter was not possible, but reducing the radar
cross section got higher priority as even before for any 4th
generation fighter. Super Hornet radar cross section is not
comparable with “stealthy” airframes – such as F-117, F-22 or
F-35, which represent a different category – but as leaked
information suggest, it has the smallest RCS from 4th generation
fighters. If the author calls “antiquated” the Super
Hornet, should be doing the same with Gripen NG. Its airframe is not
as strongly redesigned as the Super Hornet, just a bit bigger to get
additional pylons under the fuselage. These new hardpoints allow
similar quantity ordnance as F-16C is able to carry. It is makes
similar Gripen NG to an F-16C instead the JAS-39C, which is similar
in size to F-20 Tigershark. The size increase impact on flight
performance will be explained later. It is also a good question why
is superior the aerodynamic conception of Gripen or Gripen NG
comparing with Super Hornet...? I cannot find any reason.
It
is the third generation of the Gripen fighter. Based on the Gripen
C/D airframe, the NG Gripen will have new and improved sensor
technology, fuel capacity, engine, and potentially thrust vectoring.
I’m glad that engine was mentioned,
only problem the false information and lack of interpretation. The
planned engine of the Gripen NG is F414G which is a modified F414.
(F414 engines are used on Super Hornets). Even of its bigger thrust
comparing with RM12 – is a modified and upgraded version of F404
which was built in F/A-18C/Ds – the performance of Gripen NG will
be the more or less the same or worse comparing with JAS-39C/D if
carries the theoretical full ordnance. Why? Because of the bigger
weight of the airframe, the bigger quantity of internal fuel, and
additional drag of more external stores consumes the bigger thrust,
especially at higher altitudes. The drag of Gripen NG is much higher
if the Meteor missiles are carried; it has much bigger drag than as
conventional air to air missile because it has not conventional
propulsion; besides the much bigger drag the Meteor also has big
impact of radar cross section. The Meteor has such a big effect on
combat radius, instead just calculating the different operational
range of Eurofighter with new missiles, test flights have started
measuring its reduced range.
Another option applying the latest and
stronger variant of Super Hornet’s engine, the F414EPE, but this
has strong impact on total cost because of another redesign; the
engine has not been matured. Why? It has not been integrated into any
aircraft, General Electric developed without signed contract. Without
F414EPE it is a false hope to expecting a really stronger Gripen and
even with F414EPE the flight performance will close to Super Hornet,
but as I can estimate still below the F-16C if they carry the same
qty. and category of ordnance.
I have no idea where came the idea of
the thrust vector control (TVC) capable engine. All variants of F414
were developed by the requirements of US Navy which never requested
the TVC capability. If the Volvo considers developing a TVC capable
engine from any of the two possible candidates, it means a very long
development and lots of money. In short, the TCV capable Gripen is
only dream, it has no real base. If anybody considers this option
won’t be cheap and easy. If author allowed himself such and
optimism on “hidden developing potential” why did he treat other
fighters differently...?
One more note, since the Cold War I can
recall only one big re-engine program in bigger scale. Because
F-16s
empty weight and drag in air to ground configuration were bigger and
bigger with new variants (higher Block number). The F100-PW-220
engines of Block 42 were replaced with -229 variant, but removed
engines could be used for F-15C fighter. This was likely one of the
main reason why was financially possible the later changes. If Gripen
NG won’t be manufactured with stronger and/or TVC capable engine it
can be stated that never will get later. If the thrust issue won’t
be solved from 1st manufactured Gripen NG, it never will be solved,
which has serious impact on flight performance.
Factor
1: Cost
This part is based mostly nothing,
because Gripen NG is currently a non existing aircraft, many of its
main equipments/items are not production – just think about the
engine – or their development has not been finished. Gripen GN is
not a product; it is only a conception currently, which has to be
developed. All development consist risks, which are meaning uncertain
costs therefore even a fix price for Gripen NG cannot be stated.
The author simply believed the
marketing speech about 4’700 USD/flight hour cost without any
interpretation and critics. First of all, just check only one factor,
the price of fuel. In the last two years was about 3 USD/US gal.,
which means about 0.8 USD/l. The average density of different types
of jet petrol is 800 kg/m3, which means about 1USD/kg
price.
The internal fuel capacity of Gripen NG
is about 3’300 kg, and of course it can carry drop tanks. The fuel
consumption is very mission dependent; during a dogfight and BVR
training within 30-40 minutes most of fuel can be consumed. Let’s
assume that 3’300 kg fuel/flight hour is the average consumption
during service. It can be longer or shorter depending or type of
flight (long range strike training, dogfight training, etc.) Only the
kerosene cost translating into specific flight hour cost is about
3’300 USD. This value represents a cost if the Gripen does not
require ground crew, pilot, spare parts, ground check and tons of
other caring. It should be obvious the 4’700 USD/flight hour is not
true, or is defined by such a method which is not comparable unless
knowing what is included. No one of other flight hour cost data
calculation method was defined in the article, therefore they are
almost useless. As a base let’s see how can be calculated the
flight hour cost.
We can get the smallest value if we
count resources only, which are spent on unit level, on the airbase.
The wage of maintenance crew, cost of jet petrol, the typical and
most common spare parts, bigger repairs which can be done without
major overhaul (depot level maintenance in US term.) If this method
is applied the specific cost is more or less constant. When comes
this time? If the operator already has the necessary experience, the
checks and maintenance tasks are routine activities. Upgrades, more
extensive but less regular checks, later structural reinforcements,
repair cost of serious mishaps and similar issues are not included if
we follow this method. In this case the specific flight hour cost is
very misleading, because there are “hidden”, not listed costs. It
is clearly visible that the quoted 4’700 USD/flight hour cost of
Gripen is something similar; many expenditure items are not counted
therefore should be ignored.
If anyone wishes to get a correct
specific flight hour cost value, it has to be accepted that the value
is dynamic thing during the life time of an airplane.(6)
In the chart of source is shown that flight our cost is not a
constant value. Scheduled checks, upgrades and many other things have
impact on cost. In fact the only value (cost) which should be
considered what is spent to build up and maintain a capability. All
expenditures should be included what was spent from procurement to
end of service time. Of course this means the final value of specific
cost can be calculated after the last aircraft have been retired, but
during the service moving average can be applied to get something for
comparison. If the procurement cost is excluded – assuming that a
fighter have to be bought in the same quantity regardless of their
price – the cost of operation still can be calculated following by
the “all included” method. Of course in this case the specific
cost will be much higher for any aircraft comparing with “clean”
cost, because serious upgrades, deeper checks, life extension can
mean millions or ten million USD expenditure concerning on a single
airframe during its service.
It is time to check the available data
– as a base – about existing Gripen variants. Hungary is leasing
12
JAS-39C and 2 JAS-39D. The Hungarian Gripens are not 100%
identical with Sweden Gripen fighters – fuselage are new, but wings
are not, they were previously used on older A/B airframes – and got
a Link 16 compatible data link and other changes because of NATO
operation requirements.
The leasing is not a widely used form
of procurement in military aviation but it has a good side effect.
Because of the support the cost of lease includes almost all cost
of operation; it represents the “all included” aspect.
Hungary pays only the wage of crew and the jet fuel; most of other
costs are included in the leasing contract. Hungary signed in 2003
for 10 years with 16’800 flight hours, was an extension for another
10 years in 2012 for more 16’800 hours. The price of first ten
years was 240 billion HUF in 2003, the cost of second 10 years is 490
billion (because of inflation and HUF exchange rate is weaker
comparing any major foreign currency). Counting with on 2012 HUF
value parity the specific flight hour costs are the followings (220
HUF = 1 USD):
1st ten year cost is about 20
million HUF / flight hour, which means about 90’000 USD / flight
hour.
2nd ten year cost is about 15
million HUF / flight hour, which means about 70’000 USD / flight
hour.
The result is quite shocking, because
the wages and price of fuel are not included, which means more
3-4k
USD/flight hour increase. Of course because of a new aircraft were
some additional cost, the support infrastructure, etc. also included
but even these items are not calculated the price tag is very high.
(Hungary bought weapons and targeting pods in another deal, their
price are not included in lease contract.) The mentioned costs are
representing the real cost of building up and maintaining of a
capability. The costs are above not included the price of aircraft,
because after 20 years or service Hungary still won’t own the
aircraft, but they can be bought for an unspecified (or classified)
price.
In we assume the linked flight hour
cost values about USAF’s fighters do not include the cost of
upgrades, later structural reinforcements, we should estimate them.
If we assume about 40 million USD/airframe for upgrade and more 20
million USD for depot level maintenance and life extension, the F-16C
is still much cheaper. These values are quite over estimated. The
most expensive fighter upgrade & life extension that I ever heard
was offered to India concerning their Mirage-2000 fighters.(7)
The specific cost of the package is about 40 million USD / airframe.
The life time of an F-16C and F-15C is
about 8’000 hours, the F-15E’s planned life span is 16’000
hours. If we add this 40-60 million USD the spec. flight our cost
increase in only ~5-7,5k USD/flight hour. If the specific cost is
counted for only 20 years of usage – which means in USAF about
250-300 hour/year for each airframe – the cost is still much lower
as for Gripen. Of course we can add the price of an F-16C on current
value, which is also ~40 million USD, but after estimation of “all
included” costs, building up and maintaining an F-16C fleet still
seems much cheaper, about 35’000 USD/flight hour and the fighter is
owned by the operator which is a huge difference comparing with
Hungarian Gripen leasing. The lease cost in USD increased for Hungary
because of value exchange rates but even counting this factor (max
25% increase) the Gripen is still more expensive.
Capabilities of an F-16C are not
conditional and “should be developed” category, they are
available, they are products. If you wish SEAD capability you can buy
now AGM-88 and AN/ASQ-213A, if you wish HOBS (high off-boresight) IR
missile with helmet display you can buy the JHMCS and AIM-9X, if you
want precision strike capability, you can buy different kind of laser
targeting pods and bombs. Not “when” and “if”, now.
There is no uncertainty, risks are minimal.
Structural analysis indicates the life
span of the airframe of F-15s can be increased dramatically and
likely won’t increase the specific flight hour cost. It is
expenditure but at the end of service the total life span in hours
will bigger.(8) Same case its engine; the
planned cycle of F100 is can be extended dramatically which is now
9000-18’000 cycle – depending on variant of F100 – the goal is
40’000 cycle.(9)
(Cycle is a typical heat stress
equivalent value which can be counted depending on engine operation.
Constant engine speed (RPM) mean less stress comparing a situation
where thrust is changed rapidly, for example in air combat
maneuvering.)
Why I mention this? Because it is
doable with F-16C/Ds and F-15C/Ds. USAF plans to keep considerable
quantity of F-16C/D (10) and F-15C/D
(Golden Eagle program) for decades, likely it is possible doing the
same with CF-188. Why is this important? I will back to this topic at
the end of the critics.(11)
Summarizing, declaring Gripen NG as the
less expensive solution seems to me quite a brave statement, without
any real base. Yes, even the current Gripen variants and Gripen NG
can be a very potent fighter, because they have undeveloped
potentials, but their cost factor is not the best and carriers big
uncertainty because possible developments. The technical content of
Gripen NG has not been finalized therefore the price is uncertain;
data about operation and maintenance cost are not available because
it is a non-existent aircraft.
Because of small fleet size, any
version of the Gripen never can be as matured and well explored as
Super Hornet or F-16. So far 500+ were built from Super Hornet and
thousands from different version of Falcon. What about Gripen? Less
than 250 have been built from all variants, the retirement of A/B
variants have been started in Sweden.
The Gripen NG has big potential for
later developing but this is true for other 4th and 4++ generation
fighters. All new developments which can be applied on Gripen NG, is
not impossible on other fighters. Moreover, many of these
developments on other aircraft are already available. USAF A-10
attackers have IR/UV missile approach warning systems (MAWS), on
Navy’s Super Hornets and USAF’s F-22 have AESA radar, towed radar
decoy are used since 1999, first in Allied Force on F-16Cs, BOL rails
are used on USAF’s F-15s, etc.
What about Sweden equipments? Their
AESA radar has been developed since late ‘90s and still is not
ready for integration, it is still in prototype phase. A fully
capable Gripen NG in 2017 seems to me only a dream.
Factor
2: Performance
With
regard to specifications, the Gripen and Eurofighter are about equal,
save for the fact that the Saab has obtained AESA radar, an asset the
Eurofighter currently lacks and the Gripen is a single engine fighter
whereas the Eurofighter is a twin engine fighter.
No, Gripen currently does not have
AESA, it may have later. The only European jet which is in service
and has electronically scanned array is the Rafale, but it has not
AESA type only PESA type radar, which means totally different
capability regardless of their similar names. In short, the AESA uses
hundreds or thousands of small modules generating a beam, PESA use
only one big emitter. The modules of AESA radar can be defined as
blocks, and all blocks can be used in different modes. For example, a
part of modules are used is air to air searching mode, while the rest
can be used create SAR (synthetic aperture radar) map.(12)
Of course the resolution of SAR map depends on the quantity of used
cells, as well as the sensitivity of radar in air to air search
mode.(13) In short, the AESA is much
flexible and knows much more as PESA type radars. Of course their
cost is another dimension and the required knowledge for
manufacturing. USA currently is the leading in AESA technology, on
Super Hornets, F-15Cs, F-22s and F-35s different types of radars have
been applied, and these are not prototypes. First AESA radars were
installed on USAF and Navy jets more than a decade ago. The contrast
is quite big.
They
both have similar power-to-weight ratios and wing loading capacities
and, although the Eurofighter enjoys a very slight advantage, they
are so close in performance that any advantage enjoyed by the
Eurofighter is negligible, particularly when compared to the vast
difference in price.
These statistical values are very
misleading, should be not used, it will be explained why. Because of
external stores top speed of 4th generation fighters more or less the
same in the same configuration, but their acceleration and
maneuverability are different in subsonic and transonic range. The
most important thing, their maneuverability is strongly dependent on
fuel level, quantity and types of carried external stores. This is
why so misleading the thrust/weight ratio and wing loading values
which are given mostly in air to air configuration. Let’s discuss
just a bit deeper this issue.
If we count with the same amount of
weapon for a Gripen and for example on an F/A-18E Super Hornet or
Strike Eagle, the relative cross section – means bigger drag –
and weight increase is bigger for a smaller fighter. If bigger and
heavier fighter has the same trust/weight ratio (t/w ratio) and wing
load in air to air or “clean” configuration – without any
external stores – as a smaller aircraft, the bigger preserves more
from its maneuverability, t/w ratio and wing load are better. Four
air to air missiles and two bigger bombs (2000 lbs size) are not a
big issue for an F-15E, but they are for Gripen. T/w ratio gives zero
information about drag which is a very important factor. It does not
important how good the t/w ratio if external stores create huge drag.
The wing loading does not reveal the lift-AoA characteristic, the
maximum available lift force and AoA limitations.
Because of the limitation a short
article cannot be fully explained as I wish, but another factor is
lack of exact data about all mentioned aircraft. If anyone wishes to
get really comparable data lots of performance envelope charts are
required.(14)These are a speed-Turn rate
chart with displayed iso-lines concerning on turn radius and specific
excess power (Ps). The charts show the performance values
with a certain weapon configuration, on a certain altitude. The
specific excess power shows the available climbing (ft/second) or
acceleration capability. If an aircraft have bigger Ps
value with the same speed and altitude as another in aircraft in the
same situation, generally it means it have better maneuverability. Of
course the highest instantaneous and sustainable turn rates also
counts.
What is important? The maneuverability
of the fighters in the typical speed and altitude range of air
combats. Where should be examined these capabilities? About 90+
percent of air combats since 1967 (3rd Arab-Israeli War) were below
25’000 feet and airspeed literally never was higher than M1.3.
During dogfights subsonic-transonic speed was typical. Supersonic
speed was mostly performed in beyond visual range (BVR) combats in
approaching phase, increasing the initial speed (range) of missiles.
What does it mean maneuverability? It
means the ability changing airspeed, direction and altitude in any
combination. The maneuverability cannot be explained using such
simple and misleading statistical values as trust/weight ratio and
wing loading. These will be explained later.
What is the problem with the flight
performance of Gripen NG? First of all Gripen NG does not exist,
therefore we should check the performance of JAS-39C. It has the
weakest performance from 4th generation fighter, its engine is simply
too weak, especially if carries full air to ground (AG) ordnance with
drop tanks. I had to chance speak a Hungarian fighter pilot, I quote
him:
“It is very painful a dogfight
against even F-16C Block30/32, the Falcon simply is more powerful
than a Gripen. JAS-39C Gripen has many advantages comparing with our
previous jet (MiG-29 9.12) in many areas (avionics, sensor & BVR
capabilities, data link, reliability, etc.), but definitely not its
flight performance which should be underlined...”
Air show demonstration demo flights are
performed at very low altitude, mostly below 1 km except some
maneuvers; therefore they show only a fraction of the “big
picture”. The trust depending on altitude and airspeed, these
define the thrust characteristic, which has serious effect of flight
performance. Therefore using ground testing (15)
thrust data of and calculating t/w ratio with this value is
pointless. The effect of airspeed and altitude, and the impact of
engine intake of airframe on thrust are also not measured.
Regardless of these conditions it
clearly visible that Gripen is not the most powerful fighter, in
fact, it is the weakest from 4th generation fighters. It cannot
perform such a long climb – especially the climb initiated at lower
speed – and high sustainable turn rate as other fighters. It is
highly unlikely that on higher altitude the situation changes in
favor to Gripen. The Gripen is not so bad, but definitely the
weakest among the 4th generation fighters, its flight performance
similar to Chinese JF-17 or F-20 Tigershark. (The F-20 was never
ordered by any country.)
Generally at low-med altitude Rafale,
F-15C, Eurofighter Typhoon, different MiG-29 and Su-27/30 fighters
represents the top category in maneuverability following by very
closely them the F-16C, F-15E and
Mirage-2000. Their performances
are very close to each other if the carry the same amount and type of
weapons, and have the same qty. of fuel.
(Because of conformal fuel tanks and
bigger empty weight Strike Eagle is slightly weaker even with
F100-PW-229 engines than F-15C with F100-PW-220. There are Strike
Eagle variants which equipped with GE F110 engines – some F-15K and
Saudi Eagles – but not so many F-15 airframes got the GE
manufactured engines.)
Close to these jets are the F/A-18C
Hornet and F/A-18E Super Hornet, and then come last JAS-39C. Super
Hornet is a bit exceptional, regardless of its thrust which on paper
is not extraordinary, but its aerodynamics concept is so good, their
demonstration flights are more powerful as the available
predestinates.(16)(17)
Both
fighters have very similar, armament, top speed, capacity, fuel
capacity, range, sensor technology, sensor fusion, helmet-mounted
display, situational awareness, speed, and maneuverability.
These are also not true. Because of
size of Typhoon armament is better scalable, its fuel qty. if much
bigger, most of Gripen fighter does not have helmet mounted display
and all sensors which required for better situational awareness (SA)
can be integrated any fighters, if the customer requests. Comparing
the maneuverability of the Gripen with Typhoon even in air to air
(AA) or clean configuration is very interesting. If the author just
saw only one demonstration flight should be note the strong
difference. Gripen is definitely weaker and decreases more its
performance with heavier payload.
By
comparison, the F-35A is a poor performer. It is not designed to
include supercruise capability and can only maintain supercruise for
a mere 241km. Both the Gripen and Eurofighter have full supercruise
capability at mach 1.2. The F-35A is also slow by fighter jet
standards. With a top speed of 1,930 kmph (Mach 1.6), it lags far
behind the Gripen, Eurofighter, which can both reach speeds above
mach 2. The F-35A is even slower than the Super Hornet and F-16
Fighting Falcon it is meant to replace.
Comparing with F-35 a non-existent
fighter is pointless; the top speed has been discussed. May the F-35
was not designed to supercruise but is able to do. Yes, the
theoretical top speed is lower as for other fighters, because the
airframe is optimized for high subsonic/low supersonic region. It
have been mentioned that what is important the maneuverability in the
most typical case of tactical situations. This is the zone where the
F-35 is similar to F-16C; JSF very likely has better acceleration and
specific excess power than Gripen NG. Yes, F-35’s maneuverability
is not exceptional – in a positive manner – but stealth
capability and sensors of F-35 – for example the
distributed-aperture sensor (18)(19) –
makes pointless to establish a better performance, it will provide
only limited advantage.
Both
the Gripen and Eurofighter have full supercruise capability at mach
1.2
After what I have explained so far it
should be obvious, that is not true. With AG stores and drop tanks no
one of 4th generation fighter can break M1.0 even they fly very high.
At low even with full afterburner the top speed is M1.0 or very close
to this value.
The
F-35A is also slow by fighter jet standards.
It has been explained what is the
useful speed region and why is pointless and false this statement.
F-35 is optimized to high subsonic range. In fact F-35 with same
armament – 2 x AIM-120 and 2 x 2000 lbs bomb – is faster than any
4th generation fighter because of the weapon bays. Also should be
noted that acceleration is also very important. Even the +50 year old
MiG-21F-13 was able to reach M2.0 at very high, but its acceleration
was smaller comparing with currently used 4th generation jets.
The
F-35A is even slower than the Super Hornet and F-16 Fighting Falcon
it is meant to replace.
Yes, if 4th generation fighters do not
carry any weapons and only the theoretical top speed is on the table,
but in combat configuration this is not true.
Maneuverability
is also an issue with the F-35A. Its small wing design does not allow
for quick maneuvers using tight turn radius. The Gripen and
Eurofighter excel in the area of maneuverability, providing an
additional advantage in a combat situation.
First of all, the about 1/3 of total
lift force on advanced fighters are generated by fuselage and not the
wings in high AoA cases. Almost the whole airframe acts as a big
wing, but of course wings have better “efficiency” (lift/drag
coefficient ratio). This is one of the reasons why so misleading the
wing loading value, because it does not cover the fuselage area and
tells 0 information about how efficient is the fuselage...
Another big mistake mention in the same
sentence quick turn and tight turn. If the author checked only one
performance chart what I mentioned should discover on transonic speed
the limiting factor for turn rate typically is the maximal allowable
G on low-med altitude. The smallest turn radius is available
generally at much lower speed with smaller turn rate; the limiting
factor is maximal AoA, the available lift force. (Of course the trust
and lift-drag relation defines the energy loss during the turns.)
F-35 sooner or later will be perform an
unrestricted demo flight on air show as did F-22 in Farnborough in
summer of 2008, 2,5 years after the first wing reached initial
operation capability (IOC) status. (PAK-FA is the same case, it still
have not performed an unrestricted demo.) As long as this demo have
not been done the “poor performer” and similar unverified
statements should not be made, especially from a person how who does
not have any knowledge about aerodynamics. We have seen how
“accurate” the author’s knowledge about importance top speed of
fighters was. Yes, there have been revealed some issues about
performance issues, but even in more detailed documents the
circumstances – altitude, speed, gross weight, loadout – and
possible solutions for fix were not discussed.(20)
He should be more careful before said
so big “facts” about aerodynamics and flight performance of F-35,
and especially if about comparison with a nonexistent
Gripen variant. He simply does not know the basics requirements of
dogfights, therefore he is not able quantifying the available
factors.
Another
disadvantage that reduces the F-35A’s capabilities is its limited
internal weapons capacity. With four internal hardpoints, the F-35A
cannot deliver nearly as much in payload, particularly when compared
to the Russian Su-35, which has twelve hardpoints, the Eurofighter,
which has thirteen hardpoints, and the NG Gripen, which will have
twelve hardpoints. The F-35A can carry additional fuel and weapons
externally using its six external hardpoints, but this negates the
F-35A’s already questionable stealth advantage, which is examined
later, and would not be advisable in a combat situation.
Here comes another typical mistake.
Because no one of 4th generation fighter has internal bays, why
should count F-35 weapon delivery capacity only with weapon bays...?
This is one of the most annoying error, because an advantage of F-35
is treated as a disadvantage. Why? Because all other fighter which do
not have internal bay carry the same amount of weapon as F-35 suffer
more form increased drag. The weapons under fuselage and wings not
only create drag, but have negative impact on the lift/drag ratio of
the complete airframe, because changes the airflow structure,
altering the original aerodynamic form.
Altering the cross section
characteristic by external stores has also effect on wave drag;
because what is called “area rule”.(21)
In strike configuration if 4th generation fighter carriers the same
amount weapons as F-35 they suffer from very rapid cross section area
increase, their cross section characteristics are less close to
ideal.
Of course if F-35 uses wing pylons lose
stealth capability, but rest of conventional fighters which have only
external stores still have bigger radar cross section (RCS), because
their base RCS is bigger, and not only some, but all weapons
are carried external hardpoints. If external carrying capability of
JSF used, it is able to carry same or more weapons as any competitor
but much smaller drag increase and less altered airflow structure.
Why is this advantage simply “forgotten” and neglected? If the
external weapons have been used even the pylons can be jettisoned to
reduce the radar cross section. The huge quantity of external
hardpoints supports the flexible weapon configurations, if stealth
capability if no necessary. Yes, the internal capacity of F-35 is no
so big, but it better to be low observable by radars – which
provide very big tactical advantage – rather suffers from huge drag
and reduced range because of huge quantity of external stores. The
initial phase in conflict where enemy air defense and fighters have
their full strength stealth capability is very useful.
Yes, during the latest conflict in
Libya Rafale and other strike fighters carried lots of bombs and drop
tanks, but the enemy air defense activity was minimal, and meant only
very old Soviet air defense systems, there were no. air to air at
all. Against an enemy which have latest air defense systems and
advanced fighters nobody would send a fully packed fighter with
maximal ordnance, because it has very serious impact on flight
performance and range.
The number of hardpoints provides the
flexible configurations for 4th generation fighters as well as for
F-35 the extra wing hardpoints, but the performance impact strongly
limits the number of really useful configurations of 4th generation
fighters. What is the typical configuration? Below you can see the
available hardpoints and typical weapons for some advanced fighter
aircraft.
What we can see? Theoretically
Eurofighter and bigger aircraft can carry typically 4 x 2000 lbs
bombs or different types of bigger air to ground missiles, besides
some BVR and short range AA missiles, and mostly at least one drop
tank.(29) Only problem that such a
configuration has no sense because of the mentioned issues. Too small
range and strongly reduced maneuverability. On the picture below is a
typical example about illogical load on a Eurofighter.
Similar not useful weapon load easily
can be imagined for other fighters. For example F-15E Strike Eagle
has seven hardpoints – 1 x centerline pylon, 4 x fuselage pylons, 2
x wing pylons – where can be put 2000 lbs size bombs moreover, on
CL and wing hardpoints the maximal bomb weight is 5000 lbs.
Theoretically
7 x 2000 lbs size bomb – which can be precision
guided or “dumb” bomb either – or 3 x 5000 lbs, which means 3 x
GBU-28 can be loaded. Only problem, these weapon loads have no sense.
Similar case on Su-35 the 32 x 250 kg or the maximal quantity of big
precision guided air to surface (AS) such as 6 x Kh-29. F-15E is also
able to carry huge quantity of dumb bombs; of course this is
pointless capability.(30) On the link the
Strike Eagle Demonstrator is presented, it was a modified F-15B for
proving the concept.
What is the
configuration typical and useful? If we check the link about Rafale
we get the right answer.(31) I have to say
it is rare such a source which illustrates useful, and not the
theoretical loads. What is typical on strike missions?
2 x short range IR missiles
2-4 x BVR air to air missiles
(rarely 6)
2 x drop tanks
1 x laser targeting pod or other
pod
2x2000 lbs or 2x1000 or 4x1000 lbs
or 4-8 x 500 lbs or one bigger stand-off weapons – for example
Taurus of AGM-158 – under each wing or fuselage hardpoints.
(Sooner or later next generation of small GPS guided bombs will be
widely used)
Very big bombs or air to surface
missiles mostly carried under centerline, for ex. GBU-28 on F-15E. Of
course much more combinations are available besides the typical ones,
but not all are as balanced as typical ones.
In air to air configuration Su-30MK,
Su-35 and Super Hornet can carry 8 x BVR and 2 x short range IR
guided missiles, but these configurations are also not useful. In
most of situations simply there are not so many potential targets –
regardless of simultaneous engagement capability, which also have
limitations – except massive cruise missile attack. For combat air
patrols (BARCAP) loiter time is important which mean at least pair of
drop tanks on Super Hornet, Rafale and Eurofighter and F-16C. (F-15s
are able to carry all drop tanks with full AA ordnance.) Even AA
missiles have less drag as big bombs, but dual pylons of AMRAAM and
drag of 10 air to air missiles comparable to a “light” strike
configuration, therefore in dogfight are not useful. Dogfight can be
happened anytime therefore it is not a good idea to fly with full
armament with smaller aircraft or which have smaller thrust.
(Fighter variants of F-15s have such a
big thrust that full AA armament is not a big issue, especially since
use smaller AIM-120 instead AIM-7. Four missiles are carried on
fuselage hardpoints the drag increase less as if they are carried on
wing racks as on Hornets and other fighters.)
Generally the advantage of bigger
aircraft that their performance is less degraded if carries the same
amount of weapons as smaller fighters. All bigger 4th generation
fighters have at least the same (Super Hornet) or (much) better
performance (Rafale, F-15E, EF Typhoon) than Gripen, therefore in AA
and especially in AG configurations they are more powerful.
If we check the F-35 we can see it has
the same amount of wing pylon as Gripen NG.(32)(33)
If necessary on inner wing hardpoints even the heaviest bomb can be
carried which is designed for tactical fighters. Yes, JSF loses the
stealth capability but rest of 4th generation fighters do not have at
all this capability, therefore this is not disadvantage. What is the
big difference? With much smaller armament but F-35 can be stealth,
but no one of 4th generation fighter are able to reach this. This is
what I call real flexibility, firepower, RCS and range are well
scalable as the environment demands. If necessary because of any
reason on wing pylons likely dual AIM-120 launchers can be applied. I
do not know what is the exact plan, but if we accept marketing stuff
of Gripen NG this means only a very light assumption for JSF. F-35
has integrated laser target designator and IR camera system, does not
rely on pods, in stealth configuration also available this
capability.
The Gripen, Gripen NG and F-16
typically can carry less as the listed items, because simply does not
have enough pylons. Generally bigger fighters even are able to carry
more does not carry the maximal weapon quantity to achieve a
reasonable balance between firepower, of range and maneuverability.
Calling “questionable” the stealth capability is quite funny, I
will explain this later.
Here is some marketing material about
Gripen NG, on the picture we can see what have been mentioned.(34)
On the picture above the quantity of carried weapons are very
impressive, only problem that is theoretical. A part of rack and
launchers do not exist, they are nice 3D models on CGI images but
they haven’t been developed. The usefulness of this configuration
is limited, because of huge drag. With this configuration even an
F414EPE powered Gripen NG will have quite weak performance and combat
radius also in not the best. What can be a balanced load? Two drop
tanks instead SDB bombs and AG ordnance on inner wing hardpoints or
vice versa, plus AMRAAM instead of Meteor missiles or only 1-1 Meteor
on each wing, because of bigger drag of Meteors.
On the following linked image problem
is the same, we can see weapons and racks which have not been
developed or still not in production.(35)
Where were mentioned the risks, cost and deadlines in the article...?
Number of hardpoints is not everything especially if some cannot be
used simultaneously, I think here about fuselage hardpoints.
Factor
3: Compatibility and Weapons Capacity
The
F-35A cannot yet carry the upcoming MBDA Meteor air-to-air missile;
the most advanced NATO compatible air-to-air missile in the world,
which is a major disadvantage in air-to-air combat, particularly in
terms of engaging a target that is beyond visual range.
Integration is not impossible, at least
on external hardpoints can be usable if won’t be developed such a
variant which be loaded into weapon bays. Because hundreds of F-35
will be exported, it would be a very illogical decision from MBDA if
not to develop such a Meteor variant, because dozens of potential
customer will be on the market. So far only conception art have been
released but if we accept the CGI images about Gripen NG this is not
so “what if “ category for F-35.(36)
Plans
to modify the MBDA Meteor to fit into the F-35A’s internal weapons
bays have been proposed, but these plans are uncertain and adds to
the already monstrous price tag.
Quite a strange aspect, monstrous price
tag can be given only for F-35, but for an undeveloped Gripen variant
with non integrated weapons the author did not apply the same point
of view...
The
Gripen and Eurofighter are both already compatible with the MBDA
Meteor, along with virtually every other NATO compatible weapon
available, giving them a significant combat advantage over the F-35A.
As long as Meteor does not exist, what
advantage are we speaking...? They have the same BVR missile
(AMRAAM), but F-35 will get also a new AMRAAM variant, the D version
sooner or later as well as other fighters. F-35 has stealth
capability which is a major advantage in BVR combat.
Even
if an F-35A compatible version of the Meteor is developed in the
future, that would not increase the capability of F-35A to such an
extent as to justify the exorbitant price and poor performance in
other areas.
This is the point where I thought that
author lost his common sense. All other fighters without weapon bay
suffer from the bigger drag of Meteor and RCS increase, but F-35 is
not if we assume a bay compatible variant. Because of bigger drag of
Meteor 4th gen. fighters in AA configuration likely will carry
maximum
4 x Meteor and 2 x AMRAAM or short range IR missiles to
maintain a reasonable range. The range, RCS and performance impact up
to 4 Meteor missiles is zero for F-35, but not for other fighter.
The
F-35A also cannot carry the AGM-65 Maverick air-to-ground missile as
it does not fit in the internal weapons bay.
In the age of long range GPS or
combined LJDAM guided gliding bombs the AGM-65 is an outdated and
very expensive weapon because of its rocket engine. No one of AGM-65
has GPS guidance therefore it is not an all weather category weapon.
In short, F-35 does not require AGM-65, will have better weapons for
example AGM-154 and GBU-39 SDB. Because of the rocket engine and
complicated elector optical / laser tracker system a price of AGM-65
is about 100’000+ USD, comparing with the price of a JDAM kit is
about 20’000 USD.
This
means that on retirement of the CF-18s, all ammunition that is not
compatible with the F-35A’s internal weapons bay becomes
practically useless.
RCAF has GPS guided bombs and GBU-12 –
these already have been used in Afghanistan and over Libya – and
AMRAAMs also can be used. (Likely Sidewinder either.) Maybe software
update is required because of the requirements of internal bay
launch, but the hardware is usable. Did the author think that all
European and other operator will scrap the huge stockpile of
precision guided bombs and air to air missiles because of F-35...?
The
F-35A also presents a problem in terms of integration into Canada’s
existing air-infrastructure due to its method of midair refuelling:
the “flying boom” method. The flying boom method is only used by
the U.S. Air Force. Virtually every other air force in the world,
including Canada, uses the “probe-and-drogue” method. Canada’s
CF-18s and CC-150 Polaris aerial tankers use this method
What a nice generalization. What does
it mean every other air force...? Thousands of F-16s are in service
in the world in more than 20 countries, only a fraction of Falcons
were modified for basket refueling method. Almost a thousand F-15 are
in service not only in USAF (Japan, Saudi-Arabia, Israel, South
Korea, and Singapore), all with boom refueling method.
Other issue that RCAF currently has
only two bigger tankers, it is not possible build real combat support
capability based on just pair of tankers. RCAF has five smaller,
which are modified C-130s, but comparing with internal fuel qty. of
F-35 they are too small for combat operation, but they can be used
for training. 100% availability is only a dream because of
maintenance issues, therefore sometimes only one is available. How
many fighters can be supported in any operation by a single tanker?
Only some, therefore if RCAF needs tankers for supporting any
operations other NATO members have to support jets of RCAF. If RCAF
really wish to have an own tanker fleet for establishing a real
capability at least 6-8 tankers required for a fighter fleet which
consist 70-80 aircraft. New tankers can be ordered to be able to use
both refueling methods.(37)(38) It can be
done with pods, but can be used adapter on end of the boom. Neither
of the linked solution is expensive of technically impossible...
If RCAF won’t have resource buy new
tankers – or simply does not want – modifying the fuel system of
F-35A is not a serious issue because for F-35B and F-35C, the
method have been developed and applied. Yes, their airframes are not
the same, F-35A is different, but this is not the world hardest
technical issue... Hungarian Gripen fighters later were modified for
aerial refueling, even the small airframe the refueling probe is not
fixed, can be retracted into airframe.
Another option is buying F-35C. May not
only Canada will be the only country who will order the naval variant
regardless does not have carrier, Turkey also consider this option.
(Not because of refueling issues.) Question is the effect any of this
decisions the on fixed price contract.
Using
an allied or private midair refuelling tanker adds to the already
exorbitant costs and means Canada cannot operate its fighter jet
fleet independently.
Only with two tankers we cannot speak
about independent capability. RCAF has about 70 Hornet fighters,
comparing the total number of fighters two tankers are enough for
training but not for larger combat operation supporting dozens of
fighters. During Operation Odyssey Dawn RCAF sent both tanker into
Europe with about half dozen of Hornets.
Modifying
the F-35A to use a probe-and-drogue system is possible, but it adds
to the ever-increasing costs.
No, they do not have to be modified if
RCAF buy new tankers; but even if they have to bee, not a serious
issue, especially if we count the total life cycle cost of F-35s.
(Total life cycle cost of F-35 will be commented in the end of
critics again.)
Factor
4: Sensors and Situational Awareness
Part
of the reason the F-35A was developed was to provide excellent
situational awareness to the pilot. This is achieved through a wide
range of sensors, data link capability, sensor fusion, Link 16 data
link, and a helmet mounted display. The Gripen C/D already offers all
these features and the NG Gripen will expand and improve on them.
No, currently operational C/D Gripens
do not have MAWS; only on Demo have been built the system, Similar
equipment as DAS on F-35 are not available any fighter in the world.
Only on South-African Gripen is available the helmet display.
For
example, the NG Gripen will include the ES-05 Raven AESA radar, an
upgrade over the C/D Gripen’s
PS-05/A radar.
The development of AESA radar has not
been finished moreover, USA have decades ahead any other AESA
developer.
The
F-35A’s sensor features, while impressive on paper, have yet to be
fully developed and are still being tested.
One from the linked test video about
DAS is almost 3 years old. So much about the “not fully developed”
statement... The first batch of F-35 has been manufactured, the test
program progressing ahead day by day. I ask again, where is at least
one prototype Gripen NG? No, Gripen Demo is not a Gripen NG; it is
very far from the Gripen NG.
The
Eurofighter and Gripen sensor suites have been more thoroughly
tested, so their capabilities are firmly known. The F-35A’s sensor
technology is not so significant that it justifies the overall poorer
performance in other areas and the vastly increased cost. It comes
back to the cost-to-performance ratio. The F-35A simply costs too
much and delivers too little.
Gripen NG airframe does not exist and
as I have mentioned most of the main equipments are not done
therefore is quite an interesting statement the “thoroughly
tested” part. Maybe independently some, but not in the final
airframe, the product cannot be tested, because it does not exist.
This is the point where I had to think
why released in latest years so many articles from authors who do not
have any necessary knowledge and skills for writing an objective
stuff. Most of them do not know enough about physics and military
aviation. Why think so many journalists if they can (?) write about
business life, politics, and public events or law they have the
skills for military aviation relying on a bunch of links and
marketing stuff without critics is very unwise. Just after I have
read the first paragraph of article I know what will come...
My teacher in the university said, he
don’t want live a world where a baker do the job of a brain surgeon
and the surgeon do the job of a baker. Maybe the quote helps to
understand what I felt when I read the article...
1.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLka4GoUbLo.
2.
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3. Ethell, Jeff – F-15 Eagle, page
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4.
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.
7.
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.
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.
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11.
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12.
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13.
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14.
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15.
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.
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17.
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18.
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19.
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20.
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.
21.
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25.
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28.
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29.
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30.
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31.
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32.
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.
33.
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.
34.
http://img.docstoccdn.com/thumb/orig/50528037.png.
35.
http://www.aereo.jor.br/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/gripen-ng.jpg.
36.
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/picture-mbda-reveals-clipped-fin-meteor-for-f-35-347416/
.
37.
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38.
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39.
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41.
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